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Time For Someone Other Than A Kikuyu or Kalenjin to Be President of our Beloved Kenya

Kenya Flag3

As I often do, I am posting here my responses to a netter I often engage in a certain Kenyan forum because I believe his views are not unique so others can benefit from mine in response. When I say “You say,” I am quoting the netter, and my responses follow

Thank you for your sober response to my post and, as I always do when I see such (and to your credit is often the case), let me respond in kind as follows:

You say, “I don’t think Kikuyus ever thought they can only vote for a Kikuyu.” I agree and let me be more precise in what I meant to say about this, and many people hold this view: by dint of history and cultural norms, most Kikuyus have always believed and still believe the House of Mumbi must always be at the dinner table, sitting on either end of the table always reserved for mama na baba or guest of honor.

You say, “Right now the only two people mentioned are Raila and Ruto. I believe they are not Kikuyus.” True, but understand this from my metaphor above, which you should also keep in mind when you’re reading this or anything I say about the subject.

You say, “That notion or movement [of only Kikuyus being president] would be a waste of time.” Partially true, when understood by the metaphor above.

You say, “It is non-Kikuyus who held that notion and unfortunately you are among them.” I am sure by now you see what point is meant by this and why your assertion is incorrect or wrong when analyzed from that perspective.

You say, “The confusion is because since 92 when they had a choice, they only voted for Kikuyu candidate. They have had very strong candidates who have been presidential materials.” Being Kikuyu was more of a factor than being a “strong” candidate; in other words, a Kikuyu mannequin would have harvested the same number of votes as did any of those candidates.

You say, “Kibaki and Matiba in 92, Kibaki in 97, Kibaki in 02 and 07, Uhuru in 13 and 17 [had the near unanimous Kikuyu vote because they were “strong” candidates] but, as I note above, being “strong” was only secondary to being Kikuyu in as far as nearly all those who voted cared.

You say, “Today, all Kikuyus to the man agree on letting another person rule and now instead of hearing hallelujah from you and others, I still hear that notion of Kikuyus only supporting Kikuyus.” This is not true. While the general sense among most Kikuyus is the country cannot stand another Kikuyu presidency, there’s a health doze of them who believe otherwise—but let me hasten to add you and I agree they’re an insignificant number.

You say, “Who is that Kikuyu to be voted by Kikuyus in 2022? Wairia or PK? That is news to me.” Take this to the bank: were a Kikuyu to be on the ballot in 2022, he’ll get more votes in Central than all non-serious candidates in the past have gotten across the country—combined!

You say, “Kisiis voted for Nyachae to the man in 02 and you did. Can we say you are a tribalist because you voted for Nyachae?” No, and this is not the issue; if not sure why, read again what I am saying is the point in my post.

You say, “Anyona run but did any serious Kisii vote for him?” No; but they didn’t have to.
You say, “Communities have a way of identifying with a candidate and the leaders play a central role in that decision.” True.
You say, “So if PK rose, and leaders coalesced around him, he will get Kikuyus votes.” My point above.

You say, “For Raila, he needs to compete with Ruto.” He is already.

You say, “Ruto for all his weakness and baggage has known how to reach the Kikuyus and has captured their will.” I don’t know about “capturing their will,” but I’ll give you he figured how to reach Kikuyus (note I am deliberately putting this in the past.”

You say, “The anger from your side is because Mt. KENYA which include Ameru and Embu supports Ruto.” Speaking for myself, and many people I know like me, we are NOT angry at ALL with Ruto having previously gained ground in Central as a serious presidential contender for 2022; in fact, I have said many times here and elsewhere, including my column that if Ruto were to somehow overcome all these forces against him and get elected as president in 2022, I’ll be the first one to congratulate him and will be right there to help him govern.

You say, “Please accept their democrat right to decide on Ruto.” I have never said neither would I that those supporting Ruto have no right to do so; they do.

You say, “Raila is not being rejected because he is Luo but because he has not campaigned and also campaigned against Uhuru.” Partially true and mostly False. There are many who vow they will never accept Raila no matter what and those will never change their views even if Raila moved to central Central and waged daily campaigns from there till the fat lady sings. You’re right Raila has not campaigned in Central nearly as close as Ruto has but that will soon change.

You say, “Uhuru called him a mad man (kimundu Kiguruki) and Kikuyus are asking when that changed.” Hypocrisy is inseparable from politics; were the absence of hypocrisy to be a disqualification for holding office or campaigning for one, there will be no politician holding office, ANWHERE.

You say, “The interests of Mt. Kenya are in Jubilee.” Only until Jubilee merges with the already informally formed super coalition in which case those who you represent or think like you will have the choice to remain or go elsewhere with Ruto.

You say, “They have a stake in that party and not Jubilee otherwise tell me of who is in ODM from there except Kamanda and Waiguru.” You’re stuck in this false belief that this is about Jubilee vz ODM; it is NOT.

You say, “Let Raila find out what Ruto has done to command that massive support.” There’s no “massive” support but there’s support for Ruto in Central which will soon disappear or remain in pockets not enough to overcome the surging tsunami.

You say, “If you think Ruto is not popular there, then be happy because they are only thinking of Ruto and Raila.” 2022 won’t be a popularity contest, rather, who captures 50+1 of the vote, and that man will be none other than the one you know.

You say, “Uhuru is with Raila so this notion that Kikuyus cannot vote for a Luo must be rejected.” Raila has had many Kikuyus who have openly and publicly supported and voted for him, including prominent ones like Sir Charles Njonjo. That was not my point, but I am sure you have seen it by now but, if not, let me make it one more time:
We need a break from yet another Kikuyu or Kalenjin president.

You say, “Ruto is a Kalenjin.”

Exactly my point.

 
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Posted by on January 20, 2020 in Politics, Uncategorized

 

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What Is Uhuru Up-to with BBI and 2022?

Uhuru(3)

For those who follow this blog or column, you’ll know I rarely separate Uhuru and his older brother Raila when it comes to analyzing their moves as they must go in tandem.

However, that’s not to mean the two leaders are in agreement 100%; rather, I am sure either men being the savvy politicians they are, they will be the first ones to admit you always must leave something for yourself just in case things don’t go in the direction you intend, even as you walk in tandem and principally agree on everything that matters.

Right now, there is an open question whether Uhuru would want to be part of the next government come 2022. The prevailing view among most analysists and political observers is, No, Uhuru will retire from politics after 2022 and join other retired presidents younger as he is, compared to the other two Wazees.

What Uhuru decides about this question obviously has a bearing on what happens with Raila’s own prospects in the succession game, even as Uhuru is committed to honor the handshake and her baby, meaning the handshake’s baby, BBI.

A blogger by the name James Ole Mugo posted and posited as follows on his Facebook page:

1. Prime minister – Uhuru (Jubilee party).
2. Deputy prime minister (1) – Musalia (ANC).
3. Deputy prime minister (2) – Gideon (KANU).
4. President – (Raila).
5. Vice president – (Kalonzo Musyoka).

It does make some sense, and I wonder how one person will beat all these guys.

I then shared this post in a Kenya forum and noted as follows:

KM na wengine, this is but one realistic possibility, Mugo’s question is rhetorical, meaning Ruto can’t beat that lineup.

To this, the aforementioned KM responded and I took the liberty to respond to him as follows and I share as I often do for the benefit of others not in that forum:

KM your’e sometimes very good when peddling or spinning Mt. Kenya anti-Raila/anti-Uhuru/pro-Ruto propaganda but you’ve surprised me in how clueless you are with this or either that you know but are doing your best to engage in alternate reality Trump style.

Be as it may, let me enlighten you and others or otherwise rectify your misconceptions:

You say, “This will go no where. First Uhuru will not run. Nobody except a few who think his bid can help them wants him run. Remove his name first.”

The mistake you’re making here or what you don’t know is Uhuru need not run for any office other than leader of a political party to accomplish what needs to be accomplished.

I know you will not even think about disagreeing that Uhuru will easily be elected as party leader in the upcoming Jubilee elections so no issue there, meaning, that piece is in place for what needs to be done next in lining up 2022 as I have been alluding to.

You say, “To be prime minister, one must be MP.” No; not necessarily! Although it’s true in most parliamentary systems the prime minister is also an elected MP, this is Kenya we are talking about and hybrid parliamentary system so we can and are likely to have a PM who is simply the leader of the party with the most seats in Parliament or one who heads a coalition that does. wrong!

You say, “Remove those who cannot run for parliamentary seats from the list.” I am sure you now see vying for parliament is irrelevant relative to PM position.

You say, “So Uhuru will run under Jubilee or ODM?“–again, irrelevant in Uhuru becoming PM. Btw, even if it were the case one MUST be MP to be PM, Uhuru can and shall be an MP even if your dreams EVERYONE voted against him in Gatundu. Hell; Uhuru can be sworn MP of ANY constituency in Kenya.

You say, “Kalonzo will be anywhere with Raila.” I think you mean “Kalonzo will NOT be anywhere with Raila” and to that I tell  you it’s also irrelevant though it’s unlikely he would turn down that opportunity. Quite frankly, I wish he turns it down because I know who will easily take it and bring even more into the equation.

You say “Use dump move by Agwambo and Uhuru will not serve him [Kalonzo]. Remove Kalonzo from that list and we can talk then.” Again, Kalonzo being on the list is no big deal; we can remove and replace him with any number of several individuals quite capable of filling the slot and even bringing more to the table than does Kalonzo so this is no biggie at all.

You say, “Ignore Ruto and shock will find out.” On this one, you may be surprised–and I have hinted and even openly said as much: Ruto puts tail between his legs, humbles himself then Uhuru and Raila can accommodate him in the new government structure.

I’ll be all for that but first things first, let him not act as though he has more or bigger balls than all before him who have been cast in the same position, namely, trying to beat a system that doesn’t want them.

You say, “PM post is only promissory deal.” No; PM post is a new position to be recreated in the government and is NOT promised to anyone but a person meeting the qualifications and requirements to hold the office.

You say, “If Raila gives Kalonzo VP post (very very unlikely), Ruto will get Kiunjuri or another Mt. Kenya fellow. The rest is history.” Again, PM position is not a brown bag to be given to anyone willy-nilly. There will be requirements as to who qualifies to get the position and that’s how the position will be given. Of course, the lineup we are talking about is a group of smart, savvy politicians best positioning themselves to grab everything come 2022 and nothing wrong or contradictory about that.

You say, “What makes you think Ruto will not give PM post to Uhuru or Mudavadi?” Again, the PM position is not a brown bag; and even if it were and Ruto gave it to Mudavadi, then Mudavadi will have a choice to make: take Ruto’s or Uhuru’s; only an idiot will take Ruto’s and not the president’s.

You say, “There will be several folks on the ballot, some hoping to get Mt. Kenya votes Raila is assuming will be his via Uhuru.” No; Raila only needs some of the votes in Mt. Kenya, which he’ll get more than before with his younger brother and hanshake partner Mr. UK being a factor; the rest can go to Ruto or whoever and it’ll be irrelevant in the equation.

You say, “So with Kalonzo, Mudavadi running and so out of PM posts and Uhuru not running in Gatundu (no chance, zero, Nada of Uhuru being MP or running on ODM), what options does ODM have?” You are posing a question based on FALSE premises therefore no answer is called for as that answer will also be FALSE.

You say, “So you think BBI will know have all these posts?” Yes

You say, “Aren’t they also going to help Ruto?” Not anywhere near how they will help Kenya and the forces that want to take Kenya in a new direction of inclusivity and definitely away from this false and backward belief only sons of two tribes in Kenya can lead the country as president.

You say, “PM post will go the party with largest members or coalition. So Uhuru will be PM under which party? ODM?” I refer you to what I have said about this above and that is, irrelevant in the final analysis: No need to be MP to be PM and, even it were, Uhuru can be MP of ANY constituency in Kenya of his liking.

You say, “Jubilee elections will be in march. Will then see if Uhuru will be in control of the party.” On this, we are on the same page. When David Murathe resigned from Jubilee, I opined that Jubilee is therefore dead. I then expected an exodus of prominent MPs Aisha Jumwaing Jubilee but that did not come to pass; now, looking back, the strategists advising Uhuru came up with a different plan and I love it.

Murathe spilled it out yesterday but it has yet to reverberate as it will and people will know hii si mchezo (this is no game) even though one can argue it’s one but high stakes.

You say, “He [Uhuru] will either retire in 22 or be forced to retire.” Neither will happen. I can tell you I know someone who speaks to Uhuru very regularly that told me sometime back and in no uncertain terms that Uhuru will NOT seek any office come 2022, and that he will retire and I believed him.

However, much as I know he was telling me the truth as he knew it, even he must be surprised by the recent turn of events on Uhuru’s position it’s likely Uhuru himself changed his mind and now wants to do exactly what Murathe outlined, which I support it 100%.

You say, “Is Raila still interested in a powerful PM post but weak presidency?” I don’t know but personally I wouldn’t mind that being the case.

I’ll address a couple of issues I see related to this last point in my next oped, which has to do with how Uhuru and Raila serving in the same government would be relative to their statuses.

 

 
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Posted by on December 31, 2019 in Politics

 

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Combating Usual Anti-Raila Rants in Kenyan Forum

Raila and Ruto(4)

Occasionally, I find it befitting to post on my blog comments and things I encounter in other social media in this case some exchanges I had with one or two usual anti-Railaists who I refer to as Neter I and Netter II:

Netter I:

Kieleweke were chased from State house the other day, Uhuru is slowly but surely regaining his senses, now he should focus on the economy

we know raila wanted a referendum to put this country into an election mood not caring how dead the economy is, ameshindwa, soon he will reject the BBI, anyone willing to bet?

My response:

Yours can only be termed as wishful thinking. Kieleweke is as solid as never before and Uhuru is as determined as never before to make sure the handshake is firm and implemented as proposed in BBI. Yes, the very document entrenching the interests of “dynasties” who many of you have been telling us “must fall.”

They’re not only NOT falling, BBI ensures they’ll never fall and none other than Ruto wants counted in and thus the reason he’s mum about BBI doing only what Uhuru and Raila tell him to do lest he’s NOT welcome to the “dynasties” club.

If you didn’t know Kenya ina wenyewe, now you know. I read a very poignant tweet from someone saying Kenyans are so gullible and even stupid they blindly cheer on politicians who only know one thing, taking care of their own interests everyone else be damned yet these very shafted voters throng fields, stadiums and even Bomas to cheer these same people who don’t care much about them.

I see that here and elsewhere which is sad.

Kenya will be a better country when people stop seeing things only from their tribal cocoons or become open minded to know what’s good for the country and not what is good or bad for some real or perceived enemies, which is a very backward phenomenon.

Netter II: BBI was a waste of money. Uhuru aimed at taming Raila/ODM. Now his ninis are barking loud and clear against BBI. They are crying foul because they wanted a parliamentary system which would favor Agwambo. Now there is no Tsunami but war cries. Soon you will see war cries even on this forum.

My response:

If I were you, I would not chest-thump that Raila did not get what he wanted in BBI. We are only at the opening to the public debate stage. Next, referendum question or questions will be drafted to mould the final question or questions in a manner to fully implement the handshake.

I am on record saying I don’t believe a pure parliamentary system can work in Kenya but I am also here to tell you what emerges out of the referendum will NOT be the SAME thing proposed in BBI. I can tell you but won’t why these steps are being taken like this.

Bottom line, speaking for myself, I am very pleased and appreciate Uhuru’s effort to make sure the vision in his handshake with Raila is fully implemented and with BBI out, we’re one step closer to that eventuality.

Netter II:

It will be better to wait and see what will befall ODM. It is standing on wishful thinking that Uhuru will abandon Ruto, get Mt. Kenya support Raila and so wins. If Uhuru is capable of doing that the way Rao can do to votes in his backyard, Raila can win. But dont know where they get the impression that Uhuru will be campaigning for Agwambo or that Mt. Kenya will listen to Uhuru and follow him where he wants to take them.

I am happy to see you accept BBI report and avoid exhibiting anger and despondent the way Senator Olekina and Atwoli have done. I also support BBI 100%. Let us see if ODM will embrace is 100%. That is their baby.

https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001351229/narok-senator-rejects-bbi-for-giving-president-too-much-power

My response:

Your problem is you believe Central is Kenya.

It is NOT.

Raila has won the presidency at least twice without Central support.

He’ll win in a landslide in 2022 with Uhuru and other key Central support.

Btw, and for the record, in 2022, I’ll be supporting whoever the system supports and right now I have good reasons to believe that will be Raila–but also know if for some reason it’s not, he’ll be fully accommodated in the new structure and that was one of my points in my last weekend’s column.

In other words, the dynasties will continue to dominate Kenyan politics and none other than one William Ruto is banging hard on the door to be let in but, unfortunately for him, he can only be let in to eat crumps by the dining table where the main feasting is about to take place.

Or put another way, your man Ruto will not see the inside of State House as president not because I wish or say so, but because the system says so and this I confirmed during my recent visit, not that it’s a secret.

Good to see all of you are focused on the shiny object here (BBI) when those who will decide your president and the future of the country are laughing over drinks, tossing to the malleability of the ever so gullible Kenyan voter, educated or not. Maajabu kweli.

Netter II:

I am “chest thumping” over what they proposed. If they change to something deviating from this document, believe me I will oppose it with my heart. What you can take from me is that whatever Nyongo and for that matter ODM ODM wanted would have seen even Uhuru object to the document.

I 0nly see ODM supporters cry. We are happy with what we are saying. Please allow us us to cheat thump and celebrate for a job well done by BBI.

Any reason ODM refused to speak on the floor in Bomas but now find it objectionable?

I have an answer. They wanted BBI team to craft a document favorable to Raila. Now that didnt happen, they know that winning the presidency will be one hell of difficult task. They would not be crying now because what they wanted is not what Kenyans wanted.

Raila will lose and violence will recur. BBI didnt address that. Atwoli and co think violence would have been curtailed if Raila got a powerful PM posts and several seats for his cronies. So problem is Raila not the constitution.

My response:

Your say, “They wanted BBI team to craft a document favorable to Raila.”

Your obsession as well as others obsession with Raila is unhealthy pls rid yourself of same.

Neither the handshake or BBI is about Raila. I doubt you’ve read it and if that’s the case, pls Google and read the communique conveying the BBI mandate as well as the Gazette notice putting the idea in motion and you’ll understand what BBI is designed to do as it shall.

You and others we know are caught in this “oh it’s about getting Raila to power through the backdoor” as if the man is not capable of getting the presidency through the front door as he has done at least twice–and something we know your’e in TOTAL denial.

Fortunately, some of the key people starting from Uhuru himself who know what happened have changed tune leaving the rest of you still in lalaland believing “Raila will Never be president” which is also a very unhealthy obsession.

Notice when I say Ruto ain’t seeing the inside of State House as president I am only conveying what I know to be the reality from information that’s both public and private.

I have nothing against Ruto’s ambitions to become president and if he beats the system and Raila to win the presidency, I’ll be the first one to congratulate him and offer my help and you’ll see me at State House with a delegation from the US and EU to personally congratulate him and map the way forward for the country with the help of our friends.

I’ll do the same thing for Raila or WHOEVER wins and is sworn as our next president.

So, you ans others can obsess about BBI being about Raila, the rest of us are more focused on what matters to effectuate the handshake and its principals’ vision for a new Kenya.

That’s all that matters and we’re on track to see the fruits from these efforts which only just began with the official launch of BBI.

Netter II:

If it is not for Raila, why are you and others refusing to embrace the BBI report? I only see anger from you and other ODMERS because BBI rejected to propose the system which would have favored Rao.

Let us think of Kenya as a country and remove individuals from it. If Raila wins in 22, I will support 100%. Will you support Ruto if he wins? This is what we want Raila to do. Accept defeat and retire with benefit. I will support his retirement with full benefit.

My response:

You know this but let me say it for the sake of clarity: Never lump me with anyone else when engaging with me. I am my own man. The views I share are mine and need not check or have them comply with anyone else.

Unless your’e hard of hearing, I have said repeatedly I couldn’t care less as to what government system is in place at any given time; in fact, I was quite happy and perfectly willing to maintain the post independence imperial presidency if only we had a human being with compassion for the poor and the masses holding the office.

This debate about parliamentary vz presidential system is nothing but a tribalism and emotionally driven debate which I and others who are not tribal despise and wouldn’t engage in. For progressives like me, all we ever want and ask for is a government that is transparent, accountable and responsive to the common mwanainchi’s needs and one that creates a conducive climate for peace and economic prosperity.

So, NO I am NOT and CANNOT be angry over a document that has NOT even become law; indeed, were it to be passed verbatim on the governance provisions, I’ll be ALL for it and work within the system to do what I know needs and must be done to make this a better Kenya.

All this other nonsense about whether Raila or Ruto is president is a sideshow. Yes, I have repeatedly made the case Raila has been and continues to be a bonafide leader who has won the presidency at least twice and deserves to serve as our president upon yet again winning the presidency, which he can.

But that by no means elevate Raila above country; no one is or should be as clearly many of you make him be the everything: country be dammed as long as Raila is not president which is bizarre to say the least.

If Ruto beats Raila fair and squire, fine; he would have faught a good fight and am sure Raila will concede defeat. If Ruto wins by yet again the system rigging out Raila, that’ll be your country, not ours and it won’t be one anyone would want to live in or visit.

Fortunately, and as much you may prefer that type of environment, the rest of us are saying let’s fix the system so can have normal elections every 5 years or 7 years as the case maybe without violence, bloodshed, destruction of property and deaths.

We’re also in the super majority those who hold this view and we shall prevail over the rest who are clinging to the past where inclusiveness, transparency and openness in elections or even peace are irrelevant and undesirable as long as Raila is not in office as president.

Very backward if you ask me but, again, a view held by a dwindling number which shall soon be rendered completely irrelevant.

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted by on November 28, 2019 in Politics

 

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Correcting Misconception About BBI and Its Status

BBI_Bomas(3)

It has been fascinating to see the reactions from even some Kenyans I thought were following this BBI launch more closely and the ignorance or lack of correct information they have demonstrated in their various comments.

One common error I am noticing even from people I would think know better–at least in social media is the belief and people acting as if the BBI report is a done deal only waiting to be voted up in parliament to become law.

Reality is, we’re far from BBI becoming law.

First, there are several proposals in the report that need not even parliament action to implement as the president can effect those changes or new policies utilizing current executive powers.

Second, there are several provisions or proposals in the report that would require parliamentary action and the president’s assent to become law under the normal law making process and those will be handled and proceed accordingly.

However, when it comes to restructuring the government as proposed in the BBI report, that requires a referendum, not just a vote in parliament.

Article 255 of the Constitution provides as follows:

(1) A proposed amendment to this Constitution shall be enacted in accordance with Article 256 or 257, and approved in accordance with clause (2) by a referendum, if the amendment relates to any of the following matters–

(a) the supremacy of this Constitution; (b) the territory of Kenya; (c) the sovereignty of the people; (d) the national values and principles of governance referred to in Article 10 (2) (a) to (d); (e) the Bill of Rights; (f) the term of office of the President; (g) the independence of the Judiciary and the commissions and independent offices to which Chapter Fifteen applies; (h) the functions of Parliament; (i) the objects, principles and structure of devolved government; or (j) the provisions of this Chapter.

Changing the Constitution via the parliament option requires a referendum if the change “relates to” any of the topics listed in Article 255(1) (see above). Although many of these topics are not relevant in this context, meaning, pursuing BBI implementation via a referendum, one or two can no doubt be argued to be relevant.

For example, an argument can be made that changing the democratic system and how the head of government is elected “relates to” democracy — a national value. A change “related to” a national value needs a referendum therefore.

Although I can see a legal case or scenario where a referendum can be avoided to still put into effect what BBI proposes, that would require some serious juggling of the pieces and things lining up so perfectly it’s safe to say the better route under current circumstances, is to put into effect those changes via a referendum.

To get there, the constitution lays out what needs to happen next, which can be a people initiated referendum, or one initiated by parliament. I can’t say for sure as things stand today which direction Uhuru and Raila will go with this; if the objections raised thus far by some in opposition camp can be accommodated and have a referendum bill passed by 2/3 of both houses, then IEBC will conduct a referendum within 90 days of passage for a yes or no public vote on the bill.

If there are not enough votes in Parliament to initiate the bill as modified to make BBI better, then the only other route will be a popular initiative signed by at least one million registered voters and the rest will go as per the rules established in the constitution, much as we had the 2010 passage and promulgation of the new constitution.

So, those celebrating that BBI is in as is you better hold off your horses you may be in for a big surprise when it’s all said and done, BBI won’t be what you think or assume it is.

Conversely, those not too happy with BBI as proposed, especially on the question of government structure, you, too, hold your horses for if there are changes to be made in the proposed structure, I doubt they’ll go all the way to a pure parliamentary system Raila and others said they prefer.

In fact, I can state categorically without any fear of contradiction a pure parliamentary system will NOT be proposed, let alone pass a referendum vote, even if proposed.

Rather, we’ll have more refining and redefining of the hybrid parliamentary/presidential system currently proposed in the BBI report to make the presidency not as dominant or as imperialistic as proposed while giving the Prime Minister office some autonomy and independence, answerable only to the people through their representatives in parliament.

The president can perform perfunctory duties relative to the appointment of the PM but that should be about it.

All that being said, and unfortunately so, how we move forward from here all depends on President Uhuru Kenyatta’s goodwill and those closest to him, working or at least making sure the handshake objectives are intact and remain firm throughout the process. That happens, we have a new Kenya for sure.

It doesn’t, well the same old ugliness, hatred and division shall continue.

As a progressive, I can only hope and pray for the former and am fairly optimistic that’s what we have in the offing going by what has transpired thus far.

God help us!

 

 
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Posted by on November 28, 2019 in Politics

 

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Baba Congratulates Amran Okoth, So Do We

Raila and Okoth

ODM leader Raila Odinga has congratulated Imran Okoth for being elected as Kibra MP and, of course, we all join in congratulating Okoth.

Congratulations to Baba, too, for pulling this one off as the never stopping to even breath political enemies and naysayers were ready to declare him politically finished were Okoth to somehow not be the declared winner.

Indeed, it is sweet victory and how befitting that Baba has dashed the hopes of those who have been scheming and plotting to defeat and embarrass him!

That being said, it’s not lost on us this was victory at a major skirmish but even bigger battle rages ahead in BBI implementation and, of course, 2022, which shall be the crowning of all Raila victories.

The mother of all victories, that is.

And we’re here to help the president and you achieve this objective and by “we” I mean the majority of Kenyans that believe in the handshake and ultimate implementation of BBI and are ready to do their part in making sure that happens.

 
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Posted by on November 8, 2019 in Politics

 

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Panic Among Some In Central As Population Shrinks and Thus Reducing Political Clout and Dominance

Central Province(1)

The Former Central Province Counties

In Shifting Census Numbers To Upset Political Ground the Standard reports on a trend emerging such that the former Central province will no longer have the so-called tyranny of numbers. This trend has caused panic among many but, as I posit below, it shouldn’t worry the rest of us for the reasons I also posit here.

It’s always fascinating to me how Kenya politics mirror US in so many way, including this one: guess who’s in the panic and we’re already seeing the effect here in the US? Yes, white people! This is because it’s predicted they will be in the minority by 2050!

WE are going to be the majority, meaning us non-whites!! However, it’s more accurate to say only racist whites and like minded are bothered by this, namely, caucasians no longer being in the majority, the rest of non-whites are not because they don’t believe in the white supremacy nonsense.

Rather, they believe and hold as true the universal belief among good people we’re all equal in the eyes of God.

Same thing in Kenya; we never used to hear or think about this panic in the former Central province until now when politicians (not the people) from the region have realized the region is shrinking in numbers so they’re are all gang-ho to defeat BBI mistakenly believing that’s the only way to preserve their dominance of politics and presidential elections.

Fortunately, a good portion of the political leadership, starting from the president himself has moved past this tribal thinking and wants us all to have a one Kenya where neither tribe nor negative ethnicity has any place in controling our politics and sharing of national resources, just as most whites in America don’t care and are unconcerned that some day they will be in the minority for they believe racism should play no role in American politics–and that goes both ways.

In other words, whites cannot suddenly become the objects of racism simply because their numeric numbers are reduced to a minority.

The color of our skin or tribal alienage should not and must not dictate who we are and what we believe is right for all of us a nation.

I have read the above linked article carefully and have seen a couple of nuggets in it I’ll develop and pen a future column, which has to do with something we already know and are counting on as part of the existing strategy to implement BBI.

 
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Posted by on November 3, 2019 in Politics

 

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Bringing Tribalism Down and Other Takes on Uhuru and Raila Efforts to Bring Central Aboard BBI Train

Uhuru and Raila(1)

Uhuru (l) and Raila (r) at a past event

Like racism in America, tribalism will always be with us in Kenya; it’s just how it impacts elections that we’re focused as a laser to cut back significantly and I am confident this time around we’ll be where America was in 2008 when they elected a black man in the country’s history–and probably the only one for quite sometime to come because white domination is real, even among non-racists.

In the same vein, 2022 will see a non-Kikuyu, non-Kalenjin elected as president and the odds on that are Raila.

The election of Raila but this time being sworn as president will crush tribalism but permanently so in our case–but that’s not to say it’ll still not simmer and perhaps re-emerge down the road, much as racism has started to rear its ugly head in America thanks to its chief enablers in the high office.

That being said, let me address your specific false allegation you have made in your post:

[I am in this blog responding to the same netter I usually engage and respond to because he raises arguments, phony as they maybe at times, that others would raise and so my decision to post them here for a wider audience than where they initially appear]

You say, “Problem with your team is that you assume Uhuru will support Raila and that  Kikuyus will be united in supporting whatever Uhuru tells them.

False in your second part, but true in the first part. We know hatred of Raila in some parts of Central is deep and is going to take some heavy lifting on the part of Uhuru to bring a good segment of it to Raila column.

The rest, we’re not writing off but strategically speaking we know we can exclude them in factoring the equations for where we’ll need to be in terms of 50%+1.

Remember, Raila has won at least 2 times, or at least once if you exclude 2013 which no one won but he did so with less than 15% of the vote from Central.

So, the only task ahead is for Uhuru to deliver a respectable portion of the Central electorate and we’re good to go.

That we know he’ll do and you can take that to the bank and cash it, if you care to. I know you don’t as you’d rather stick with what you believe, which is fine.

To be fair, given our country’s history with political deal, I would admit I was one who was urging caution in  wholly embracing the handshake because I believed it could be a trap for Raila.

I created a 5-box matrix scale to measure the authenticity and viability of the handshake and as previously blogged, 3 of those items have thus far checked out with 2 remaining which depend on each other.

One happens, we’re home.

That’s what I am watching for and sooner than later it shall come to pass as to what the entry would be, one way or the other.

The converse, of course, is also possible, which means not exactly a loss or even toss-up as to prospects, but advantage Raila.

You say, “Kikuyu can vote for Raila but it will take more than UK.” Wrong. This assertion is simply a version of disrespect for Uhuru but I am happy to say he’ll shock you all.

The worst competitor in any game, is one disrespected for he or she will teach you a lesson when you least expected and busy counting chickens before they hatch, which is basically your leader is doing ditto the rest of Tangatanga, ati Uhuru hatawashinda.

You’ll all see.

You say, “He must bring everybody on board and work on providing evidence that he will do better than Ruto.” I assume by “He,” you mean Raila but that obviously ignores the fact BOTH Uhuru and Raila are ALREADY working to bring everyone on board and NO, they don’t need to make the case why Raila will be better than Ruto for it is enough we don’t need another Kalenjin president as of mothers from the rest of the communities that sire children haven’t sired a child to be president besides the two communities.

That, folks, is what’s at the core of this and the reason we have the handshake and BBI to implement it.

Let’s not fool ourselves, or pretend that it is not.

You say, “Right now only Mwangi Paul is in ODM and yet I keep on hearing that Kikuyus will vote for ODM.”

Again, you’re looking at things from a tribal prism and what I’ll keep telling you and others is we’re moving the country past that. Many of us have always been there, but we now bring the rest of the country; or at least, a good majority of the country where who you vote for doesn’t count on what tribe you belong.

As a Kisii, I am proud my community as is the case with a few others has always divided its vote and not blindly voting as a black as is the case with many other tribes and this is the model we must apply for the rest of the country.

To be sure, and the reason I am specifically saying I am Kisii, is no one is as naïve as to suggest that we abandon our heritage for the sake of eradicating tribalism; far from it.

We can end tribalism while at the same time preserving our heritages and ethnicity, which is exactly what the handshake and BBI are designed to do.

That being said, the elections of 202 (or 2021) will be won not by ODM, or Jubilee or whatever; rather, the elections will be won by the spirit and a new alliance in the making. That’s all that matters, not individuals, or individual parties.

You can stick with your belief “No Kikuyu will vote for ODM” all you wish, and to that all I can tell you we know even in the past, more than 10% of Kikuyus voted for Raila (CORD and NASA) against all odds so you can’t come from there to ZERO Kikuyus not voting for Raila. That will be going backwards and that we ain’t doing, not when we have the handshake and BBI.

You say, “Also, Kalonzo needs to be courted for Kamba to support Raila again.” Let me just say Raila knows how to get votes and will not be needing advise from you or anyone else besides his team on how to do that.

You say, “ODM peed on their votes when they grabbed all political funds and forgot that Raila got those votes from them too.” This is just a false allegation or ill-informed at best.

No need to go into the weeds on this but let me just inform you and others that ODM has not “grabbed” political funds.

NASA never set a formula to share political funds by its constituent members so each member must look to funds as provided under the Political Parties Act, which gives ODM the upper hand in deciding on how the funds will be shared.

That process is ongoing and no decision has been made to that effect but that doesn’t mean that ODM has “grabbed” the funds.

In due time, the matter will be resolved and I am sure it’s part of ongoing negotiations for new alliances.

You say, “Raila is a very short sighted politician.” False.

You cannot find a more far-seeing politician alive in Kenya today than one Raila Amolo Odinga.

Like father, like son.

Someone once said of Jaramogi he was like a giraffe as he saw far.

Raila has followed suit and not surprisingly so.

You say, “He only thinks only of today does not look at the future.” Again, FALSE.

Read again what I have just said above.

You say, “He has done to MM, Weta, Kalonzo and others what he did to Ruto in 2008.

And what is that?

You say, “Very good, excellent wasting votes.” It’ll be redundant to say false, so, let me just say not true.

At all.

 
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Posted by on November 2, 2019 in Politics

 

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