I have been blogging quite a bit on this game changing Ruto’s reconciliation with Raila and Joshua Sang’s endorsement of Raila in other Kenyan blogs and forums I thought I share here some of the blogging:
[To someone suggesting Sang has no votes for Raila]
You missed the point; it’s not the number of votes Sang has that matters, it’s what he said that does and no doubt will move huge number of votes to Raila column.
I know Synovate is coming out with their latest numbers tomorrow but they may have to go back and redo the exercise to reflect movement of votes in RV that’s already occuring thanks to Ruto and Sang signalling to the Kalenjin vote for Uhuru at their own peril.
[To a Raila supporter]
This is what we have been saying all along but nobody believed us.
The Kalenjin are saying enough of the lies now we want the truth about who’s serious about addressing our issues and they are concluding in large numbers that person is not Uhuru but Raila.
The voting will reflect that fact as Raila is reelected but this time sworn as president.
Raila has been saying Mambo Bado but I am not sure people knew what he was talking about; this is just the beginning of many strategic executions in the remaining few days to Election Day to make sure Raila is reelected but this time sworn as our next president–in Round 1, if I may add as a reminder to those who have forgotten we have been saying all along there will not be Round 2.
[To a supporter noting Raila’s masterly of political strategy]
In politics, timing is nearly everything. These things don’t happen in a vacuum; you can assume they have been in the making and many others to follow before Election Day.
A reliable source tells me Infotrak, which is to release its numbers tomorrow has been pondering whether to delay the release and redo the survey to reflect both Ruto’s public reconciliation with Raila and now Sang’s significant and loud declaration of the truth many have known for a long time–it really doesn’t matter because we know these two events and others to follow will in the end be the key defining moments of 2013 elections.
[To a UK supporter still believing UK can carry more than 70% of the RV vote]
You can take it to the bank Uhuru would not garner even close to half of what he and others who don’t understand the dynamics of RV have been counting on.
He can walk tall with his head up after he loses if he harvests 30% in RV, which is less and less unlikely.
You have to take these two events of Ruto reconciling with Raila and Sang endorsing Raila to mean even the two have come to accept what has been said openly in the region since Ruto abandoned his presidential bid to play second fiddle to UK–an anathema to most Kalenjins,especially the wazees who drive the votes.
BTW, Raila is not winning the propaganda war; he’s winning the battle of who is best suited to lead our country this time and most Kenyans agree he is. He’s merely winning over those who may have had their doubts, legitimate or not.
The truth and fact to be soon confirmed is this thing won’t even be close and will be over with in Round 1 with Raila and Cord emerging at the top much as was the case in 2007, the difference being this time around Raila will actually be sworn as our next president.
Those majestic words are appropriate to start practicing by those who have been in doubt or having their heads buried deep on the ground–or let them prepare to hear them for a long time to come beginning next week.
[To a Raila non-supporter insinuating Raila cannot get more than a few votes in RV]
No Maryanne, I am not saying that the whole of Rift Valley has now moved with Sang to Cord; I am, however, telling you the two events, Ruto’s reconciliation with Raila and now Sang’s open and loud declaration of the truth about Raila and issues dear and near nearly all Kalenjins, especially the wazees who will determine the vote, are major boosts to Raila’s fortunes in the area it’s impossible for Uhuru to reverse them–even with his reluctant running mate.
Notice how muted Ruto has been lately, going back to late last year and that will tell you something; the man is practically endorsing Raila in his actions, or more importantly, his inaction.
He (Ruto) is not stupid; he’s in fact, a very shrewd politicians who knows how to hedge his bets.
Right now, he’s hedging his bets that Raila is unstoppable and thus how he has not been passionately promoting Uhuru in RV and did not even bother to have URP open offices in Uhuru’s backyard.
If you recall, I blogged some time ago if Ruto were to decline the offer from Raila to rejoin ODM, I would state publicly why he would do so despite what he would and did give as a reason.
I subsequently hinted at it and that’s really what is at play.
But for that, Ruto will be fully Corded today but that’s okay, he’s and will do what he can to make sure the presidency doesn’t go to his running mate and that’s evidence of a smart politician, which he is.
[To someone claiming he had talked to a former Belgut MP about Sang’s endorsement and claims the former MP “laughed his head off” even as they did not finish the conversation]
Had you finished the conversation, you’ll have been shocked the laughter turned into serious and loud wailing; the man is probably desperately trying to reach Raila in continued and uncontrollable sobbing.