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Bringing Tribalism Down and Other Takes on Uhuru and Raila Efforts to Bring Central Aboard BBI Train

Uhuru and Raila(1)

Uhuru (l) and Raila (r) at a past event

Like racism in America, tribalism will always be with us in Kenya; it’s just how it impacts elections that we’re focused as a laser to cut back significantly and I am confident this time around we’ll be where America was in 2008 when they elected a black man in the country’s history–and probably the only one for quite sometime to come because white domination is real, even among non-racists.

In the same vein, 2022 will see a non-Kikuyu, non-Kalenjin elected as president and the odds on that are Raila.

The election of Raila but this time being sworn as president will crush tribalism but permanently so in our case–but that’s not to say it’ll still not simmer and perhaps re-emerge down the road, much as racism has started to rear its ugly head in America thanks to its chief enablers in the high office.

That being said, let me address your specific false allegation you have made in your post:

[I am in this blog responding to the same netter I usually engage and respond to because he raises arguments, phony as they maybe at times, that others would raise and so my decision to post them here for a wider audience than where they initially appear]

You say, “Problem with your team is that you assume Uhuru will support Raila and that  Kikuyus will be united in supporting whatever Uhuru tells them.

False in your second part, but true in the first part. We know hatred of Raila in some parts of Central is deep and is going to take some heavy lifting on the part of Uhuru to bring a good segment of it to Raila column.

The rest, we’re not writing off but strategically speaking we know we can exclude them in factoring the equations for where we’ll need to be in terms of 50%+1.

Remember, Raila has won at least 2 times, or at least once if you exclude 2013 which no one won but he did so with less than 15% of the vote from Central.

So, the only task ahead is for Uhuru to deliver a respectable portion of the Central electorate and we’re good to go.

That we know he’ll do and you can take that to the bank and cash it, if you care to. I know you don’t as you’d rather stick with what you believe, which is fine.

To be fair, given our country’s history with political deal, I would admit I was one who was urging caution in  wholly embracing the handshake because I believed it could be a trap for Raila.

I created a 5-box matrix scale to measure the authenticity and viability of the handshake and as previously blogged, 3 of those items have thus far checked out with 2 remaining which depend on each other.

One happens, we’re home.

That’s what I am watching for and sooner than later it shall come to pass as to what the entry would be, one way or the other.

The converse, of course, is also possible, which means not exactly a loss or even toss-up as to prospects, but advantage Raila.

You say, “Kikuyu can vote for Raila but it will take more than UK.” Wrong. This assertion is simply a version of disrespect for Uhuru but I am happy to say he’ll shock you all.

The worst competitor in any game, is one disrespected for he or she will teach you a lesson when you least expected and busy counting chickens before they hatch, which is basically your leader is doing ditto the rest of Tangatanga, ati Uhuru hatawashinda.

You’ll all see.

You say, “He must bring everybody on board and work on providing evidence that he will do better than Ruto.” I assume by “He,” you mean Raila but that obviously ignores the fact BOTH Uhuru and Raila are ALREADY working to bring everyone on board and NO, they don’t need to make the case why Raila will be better than Ruto for it is enough we don’t need another Kalenjin president as of mothers from the rest of the communities that sire children haven’t sired a child to be president besides the two communities.

That, folks, is what’s at the core of this and the reason we have the handshake and BBI to implement it.

Let’s not fool ourselves, or pretend that it is not.

You say, “Right now only Mwangi Paul is in ODM and yet I keep on hearing that Kikuyus will vote for ODM.”

Again, you’re looking at things from a tribal prism and what I’ll keep telling you and others is we’re moving the country past that. Many of us have always been there, but we now bring the rest of the country; or at least, a good majority of the country where who you vote for doesn’t count on what tribe you belong.

As a Kisii, I am proud my community as is the case with a few others has always divided its vote and not blindly voting as a black as is the case with many other tribes and this is the model we must apply for the rest of the country.

To be sure, and the reason I am specifically saying I am Kisii, is no one is as naïve as to suggest that we abandon our heritage for the sake of eradicating tribalism; far from it.

We can end tribalism while at the same time preserving our heritages and ethnicity, which is exactly what the handshake and BBI are designed to do.

That being said, the elections of 202 (or 2021) will be won not by ODM, or Jubilee or whatever; rather, the elections will be won by the spirit and a new alliance in the making. That’s all that matters, not individuals, or individual parties.

You can stick with your belief “No Kikuyu will vote for ODM” all you wish, and to that all I can tell you we know even in the past, more than 10% of Kikuyus voted for Raila (CORD and NASA) against all odds so you can’t come from there to ZERO Kikuyus not voting for Raila. That will be going backwards and that we ain’t doing, not when we have the handshake and BBI.

You say, “Also, Kalonzo needs to be courted for Kamba to support Raila again.” Let me just say Raila knows how to get votes and will not be needing advise from you or anyone else besides his team on how to do that.

You say, “ODM peed on their votes when they grabbed all political funds and forgot that Raila got those votes from them too.” This is just a false allegation or ill-informed at best.

No need to go into the weeds on this but let me just inform you and others that ODM has not “grabbed” political funds.

NASA never set a formula to share political funds by its constituent members so each member must look to funds as provided under the Political Parties Act, which gives ODM the upper hand in deciding on how the funds will be shared.

That process is ongoing and no decision has been made to that effect but that doesn’t mean that ODM has “grabbed” the funds.

In due time, the matter will be resolved and I am sure it’s part of ongoing negotiations for new alliances.

You say, “Raila is a very short sighted politician.” False.

You cannot find a more far-seeing politician alive in Kenya today than one Raila Amolo Odinga.

Like father, like son.

Someone once said of Jaramogi he was like a giraffe as he saw far.

Raila has followed suit and not surprisingly so.

You say, “He only thinks only of today does not look at the future.” Again, FALSE.

Read again what I have just said above.

You say, “He has done to MM, Weta, Kalonzo and others what he did to Ruto in 2008.

And what is that?

You say, “Very good, excellent wasting votes.” It’ll be redundant to say false, so, let me just say not true.

At all.

 
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Posted by on November 2, 2019 in Politics

 

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Deconstructing BBI Central Kenya Narrative Part II

Uhuru and Raila(3)

President Uhuru Kenyatta and Opposition leader Raila Odinga shre a light hearted moment at the foot steps of Harambee House after their meeting where they resolved to work together and unite the country after the long protracted elections. March 9, 2017. Photo/Jack Owuor

According to the Star, Mt Kenya MPs have indicated that they will oppose the parliamentary system of governance should the BBI report propose so.

The more than 30 legislators who addressed a press conference in Parliament buildings on Thursday, said they will reject a proposal to either elect a Prime Minister or President in Parliament.

“Our people are underrepresented. What we want is one man one vote, ” Ndaragua MP Jeremiah Kioni said.

They said that inclusivity in the government will play a big role but it should be able to address leadership, representation, resource, allocation and the structure of the gThe legislators who included senators and MPs said they will hold a meeting after Building Bridges Initiative has released its findings where they will give their take.

Following this news, I had the following exchange with a netter:

Netter:

These [MPs] are not few. Uhuru needs to do something. Mambo bado.

Remember even some Luo mps realized that Moi did kifunga macho to them. An MP in Lamu representing 10k voters will have same weight with one in Siaya with 150k voters. Those folks will decide who rules.

Parliamentary system will see battle line drawn and may see even unexpected quarters gang….eg Duale for it and am MP from Nyanza tell Raila hell no.

My response:

I am not privy as to what the strategy to make sure BBI passes is, but I can put two and two together and tell you I see two different paths to that end, even one involving NO referendum. I am therefore not concerned about what these MPs say or do because we know ALL of them are thinking their own jobs and EATING first and how BBI will affect that. As a progressive, that is the least of my concern and our task is educate and inform the public as we are to be focused on what matters.

What matters is amending the constitution to address the BBI core issues, which are: (a) Ethnic antagonism and competition b) Lack of a national ethos c) Inclusivity and devolution d) Divisive elections e) Safety and security f) Corruption g) Shared prosperity h) Responsibilities and rights. Nearly all of these can be done legislatively and by Executive Orders and I know there’s one path ALL of them can be done without need to amend the constitution and therefore NO need for a referendum but let’s first wait and see the report.

Netter’s response:

True about 2007 and Hague. Raila rejected the results. Ruto was his lieutenant and Uhuru was working for Kibaki. Kibaki and Raila should have been hauled in Hague also. Ruto and Uhuru were not running for office then. Tell us who behind the violence in subsequent elections and why? He claimed elections were stolen?

If Raila didnt run during these elections and condemned related elections, we would not be talking changing the system of Govt. Ruto was not with Raila when violence broke out in 13, and 17. Who was in charge? Raila. Uhuru and Raila are focused on all violence happening every time Raila losses. Those seats are make him get accommodated. They think he will get a seat so shut the hell up. What if we change the constitution, Ruto wins the presidency and Jubilee is majority as in today’s case but he appoints Duale and Kiunjuri as DP and prime ministers, Khalalwe and Kibutha as DPM, and Jumwa in powerful ministry, then gets others supporting him from Luo, Kisii, Meru, Maasailands and all over Kenya since PM will be from majority party? He will meet their requirements but Raila will be out.

So if Ruto appoints a Migori MP or let say one in Jubilee as DPM as long as he is Luo, will that make Raila happy? So assuming we have current situation, who would have been PM? Duale or Kidiki? Since no Luo MP is in Jibilee, how do they get one without nominations? Raila will reject the results and violence will be there.

The system of Govt is not the problem. Just make Raila accept results and nobody will fight.

On Mt. Kenya, let us see if Uhuru will make it. He will run against elected leaders and with Raila on his side, he wont make unless they address representation issue. The posts of PM and deputy PM are accepted in Kenya but how you get them is the issue. One man one vote will have to be the mode of electing leaders. Hio short cut being made for Raila to assume power will be rejected. Wacha RV and other leaders speak and Uhuru may have to forget RV abd Mt. Kenya

But UK will be well received in Nyanza.

My response:

I will not indulge you or anyone opening wounds of 2007 as far as I am concerned, that’s now history and I am happy in the role I played in ending Uhuru’s ICC case.

However, that doesn’t mean we simply forget what happened, or what happened in 2017; rather, we only keep that in mind as it informs our way forward in making sure it does not happen again. This is all what this is about, namely, ensuring future elections are peaceful and the country remains united and not divided along tribal lines. You obviously believe this is about Raila but so be it. We know what it is about and those who matter and will make it happen know.

I am talking about the powers that be notwithstanding what those stuck in the past wish to do because they just don’t have what it takes to stop the momentum we have to bring about lasting change to fix these ailments for the good of our beloved country.

You can dismiss Uhuru now as useless and a Luo who now belongs to Nyanza all that tells us is how much you hate Raila but that’s alright; it’s your prerogative.

All I know is thanks to the humble Uhuru Kenyatta, Uhuru Will Atone for the Sins of His Father and Usher in New Era for us mpende msipende (like it or not).

 

 

 
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Posted by on October 27, 2019 in Politics, Uncategorized

 

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