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What You Need To Know About the Rarely Used Insurrection Act Trump is Threatening to Invoke

Minneapolis Police Death Washington Protest

The Insurrection Act of 1807 is a United States federal law that empowers the president of the United States to deploy military troops within the United States in specific circumstances, such as to suppress civil disorder, insurrection and rebellion.

The man whose secretary of state never denied calling a moron says he will invoke the law and send the military to US cities where there are demonstrations and riots “if a city or state refuses to take the actions that are necessary to defend the life and property of their residents.”

The question is, can he do this?

To be sure, and throughout the history of this country, this law is rarely used and the last time it was invoked was back in in 1992 to quell the Los Angeles riots after the acquittal of four white police officers in the merciless beating of Rodney King, a black man.

Before that, the act was used in 1989 during widespread looting in St. Croix, Virgin Islands, after Hurricane Hugo.

So, technically, yes, he can but not as easily as he makes it sound. As I conclude below, certainly not under these circumstances.

Another question is whether the president can do this on his own, without the request of the affected state or states and here legal experts say he can.

However, there is a presumption (and this is my surmise on this) that the president taking this action is doing so for proper, safety and law and order related reasons, not to wag the dog or to impress his base on what a strongman he is or can be, or to distract from his other failures such as disastrous response to a pandemic that is still ravaging the country.

Otherwise, if there is no basis to invoke the act and one does so for these nefarious or bogus reasons, namely, to impress his base or for personal political gain, then that is clearly abuse of office and some can argue an impeachable offense.

My view on this is #GeorgeFloyd demonstrations have made their point let the action now focus on making sure the anger is converted to votes in November and let’s root out those in elective office that have been enablers of all things bad for the country, starting with the presidency and on down.

This will (a) deny the man opportunity to invoke this law and (b) make sure we need not worry about shameless and reckless shenanigans and antics like this after November.

 
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Posted by on June 2, 2020 in Politics

 

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Uhuru’s Break-up with Ruto Is Irreversible

Uhuru and Ruto(1)

In politics, optics are as important as substance so anyone is free to interpret optics as they fancy it’s a question of how most people see it.

President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto showed up at today’s Madaraka Day celebrations donning matching or nearly matching suits, shoes, red ties and masks which had some Kenyans excited, especially on social media wondering if the two have reconciled and returned to their earlier days bromance where they were also wearing matching shirts and ties to project their joined at the hip brotherly love.

An interesting question to ask nonetheless is whether the donning of this matching attire was meant to be a statement or coincidental? That’s something none of us can tell or know for sure, but given nothing is coincidental in politics, at least not of this level of detail, one can assume there was some coordination to convey a message, leaving the further question, what message?

If history is anything to go by, wiser counsel is to not assume much from this because, two politicians laughing and high fiving each other today does not mean they will do so tomorrow if their interests diverge.

Indeed, even forgetting about history for a moment and just look at what has happened to Ruto in the past few weeks, the political whupping he has received and the damage is irreversible at this point.

Right now and to the foreseeable future, there’s nothing Ruto can do to reverse course on which his political demise is on for at least 2022 politics.

It is said anything is possible in politics but that’s an overstatement as the requisite conditions and circumstances must be right for that to be the case.

While Ruto can throw in the towel in as far as succeeding Uhuru goes, and seek whatever crumps the system may throw his way come 2022, fact is the man from Sugoi is politically finished and his ambition for 2022 came crashing when all his backers in the Senate abandoned and did not even bother to put up a fight against the purge that took place there.

Others have wobbled and shown signs or even outright told friends they will not be there for Ruto if the choice came to between backing him or doing as Uhuru wishes.

Indeed, according to one number cruncher I know who is privy to an analysis that has been done as to who is likely to vote for who and why on the question of impeaching Ruto, if a motion to that effect is brought in the national assembly, and if the ongoing Jubilee negotiations with national leaders for a grand coalition holds, Uhuru is short between 8 and 15 votes of the 233 needed to impeach Ruto, if he opts to go this route.

That’s a number that Uhuru can whip and have their votes within minutes.

According to the same source, the votes are there to remove Ruto in the Senate–and by a large margin.

Wachana na impeachment kwa sasa; that’s the mother of all battles but there is smaller though significant battle to be fought and won and that is continued purging of Ruto loyalists this time at the National Assembly where efforts to save Duale appear to have failed and now he’s facing the chop.

I said the other day only Murathe can save Duale from being axed but I have changed my mind and now say Murathe has punted because someone else wants Duale out more than Murathe wants him in.

My new thinking is partially informed by recent reporting that it is now up-to Uhuru who really doesn’t care one way or another to decide whether Duale stays as majority leader or is out.

The irony of ironies as I see it is this:

If Ruto is spared the humiliation of removal from office by impeachment (which I advised against in my weekend oped) to politically live to fight another day for the presidency (2027 or 2032), then he must agree to (a) the purging that is next to take place at the National Assembly, including removal of Duale as majority leader and (b) not to whine at all about several CSs deemed loyal to him that will soon be shown the exit door to make room for the new government of national unity in formation.

In my belief, what you saw today is quintessentially a part of that amicable divorce if Ruto can live up-to his end of this lowly bargain that leaves him an empty suit wandering around the walls of power with absolutely nothing to do but pass time.

Interestingly, and relevant for this matching attire excitement, Ruto’s problems lie not with Uhuru, but the very system that put them together in the first place, and later in office without the votes required under the constitution.

That system calls the shots, not Uhuru.

Unfortunately for Ruto, his calculations and schemes at the expense of Uhuru has alienated him from the man such that even he has come around to let the system have its way without him trying to stop them or make it harder.

I have personally met and chatted with Uhuru twice and the last time was at a prominent Kenyan politician’s home just after passage of the 2010 constitution. On both occasions, I was very impressed how articulate and charming the man was and not for a moment did I think I was talking to this person the media depicted as a clueless someone born with a silver spoon in his mouth.

That man, I surmised then, and remain so convinced today, is shrewd, intelligent, knows what he is doing and underrate him at your own peril.

Ruto underrated him at his peril and that peril is the music he is facing right now, with more to come down the road.

I also know the man rewards loyalty like no other; meaning, had Ruto remained loyal through and through to him without undercutting and remaining quiet as his foot soldiers insulted and disrespected him, Ruto would been in exactly the same situation Raila was with Kibaki through elections: someone his coalition partner and the system did not want to see the inside of State House as president but waited to election day to say so loudly and clearly.

In other words, yes, had Ruto remained loyal to Uhuru, he would have gone to 2022 as a leading presidential candidate to succeed Uhuru and even probably carried the day in votes but only to be rigged out by the system because they just cannot have the man in office as president.

For many, many reasons not the least of which is their fear he will finish them, especially those who have let it known from the very beginning he sits where he sits as a matter of convenience for them, not some self-made hustler prowess he does not tire to project though rendered useless by recent events with more to come.

So, my take is there is no bromance here it is likely Uhuru has given Ruto a nice send-off from State House as the man may not even be there as DP come next Madaraka Day, or even Jamhuri Day unless he lives through the pain of political austerity measures Uhuru and the system have tailor made for him.

UPDATE

Since posting this blog, Uhuru had a Jubilee PG meeting and Duale’s job was saved. Here is what I posted elsewhere as an update:

I have been saying for a long time the only person who would have saved Duale’s job as majority leader is David #Murathe as #Uhuru did not care either way if #Duale remained. I changed my mind and said it was now a toss up between Murathe and one other significant person who wanted Duale gone. As it was reported in the media, it was Uhuru to decide which of the two men will have their way.

It turns out Murathe has and now Duale must do as Murathe (read: the system) tells him to do and will only be happy to do so. This is also why it was easy for Uhuru to lean in Murathe’s direction because Duale has never once insulted or disrespected him and neither has he failed to push through the president’s agenda as told. In other words, he keeps his job in part because he has been clever in not offending the hands the fed him.

 

 
 

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Impeaching Deputy President William Ruto

Ruto(3)This is no longer noise in some opposition circles but every indication now is we are headed to a showdown in Parliament to test if Ruto has the votes to block or defeat his impeachment.

The first salvo is fired by bringing up a motion in the National Assembly supported by one-third of all members, or 116 MPs. A motion to impeach Ruto has been drafted and is currently supported by 106 members (see below).

It is curious the draft motion is circulating with only 106 members as one would think the movant would want to have the requisite one-third of the members before having it leaked for public consumption or support but I am sure they have their reasons, probably believing they only need 96 votes, which is theoretically possible but I doubt that’s the reason.

Be that as it may, impeachment showdown is looming and those baying for Ruto’s impeachment and removal can smell victory and thus this escalation in the efforts.

The motion, if brought up in the National Assembly will require two-thirds approval by all members to proceed to the Senate where the impeachment must be upheld by two-thirds majority there as well.

Not an easy task in both cases, to say the least, but it is also entirely possible, especially given recent developments that show Ruto does not have the numbers in supporters we thought he has in Parliament.

DP Impeach Motion(1)

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Posted by on May 25, 2020 in Politics

 

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The Day I Almost Perished Near Mombasa

Mtito Andei(1)

And then there are many Kenyans from those times who remember how the Presidential Escort Motorcade would travel at high speed on the Nakuru-Nairobi Highway in the 1980s and the 1990s, either from Nakuru to Nairobi or vice versa. Nakuru-Nairobi/Nairobi-Nakuru is two hours by road, but the Presidential Escort normally did Nakuru-Nairobi/Nairobi-Nakuru in about 75 minutes, normally on Uncle Dan’s instructions because there was always something that needed to be done, somewhere that he needed to be.

I read this in a long post by Michael Mundia Kamau, who I enjoy reading his historical pieces and nostalgic photos he shares on his Facebook page and reading this prompted me to share the following from my memoir (work in progress) regarding presidential motorcades.

[I describe in my memoir, the first and second time I was in a presidential motorcade though it would be more accurate to call it a Prime Ministerial motorcade as this was when Raila was Prime Minister and on those two occasions I joined him, in his limousine, on a tour to Mt. Kenya region, including a visit to Dedan Kihika Kiman’s home in Njambini where I met for the first time and chitchatted with Maina Njenga, and another time when I was in a separate vehicle on a motorcade with the then PM to Nyayo Stadium to attend a friendly soccer match between Kenya and Uganda]

Here is something this post reminded me I can share now, and it has to do with the 2013 general elections.

It was not a motorcade but, being driven in an official campaign vehicle for ODM during the 2013 elections campaign. In the 2007 general elections, I was ODM’s Supervising Agent for Rift Valley [more on that in the memoirs]. In 2013, I worked with someone who is now a senior officer in the Deputy Prime Minister’s office, as the Advance Team for countrywide ODM campaign rallies.

Our primary responsibility was to arrive at the next rally venue, usually a day before where we would meet with local leaders to flesh-out any issues that may be there and to supervise logistics for the rallies, such as sitting arrangements, facilitating PA systems, liaising with the media and so on.

Although sometimes we would stay for the rally, often we would leave as soon as Raila and his entourage arrive to dash to the next venue to do the same advance work, especially if the rallies were close by. On occasion, we would spend overnight and travel early the next morning for the next rally.

Our driver in the high-end SUV must have been plucked from the Presidential Escort unit because his driving skills were breathtaking—literally! The man could put his foot to the pedal unlike anyone I knew or seen and yet, he was able to drive us all those times crisscrossing the country without even as coming close to having an accident.

In hindsight, I know it was only God who protected us because the speeds we were doing on these treacherous Kenyan roads were such that it was simply by God’s intervention we never got involved in any accident.

The man drove so fast, and so dangerously overtook other vehicles I would close my eyes and try to go to sleep so as not to see things flying by such as big buses and lorries he was whizzing by as if he was on a suicidal mission.

The senior government official I was riding and working with and I sat in the back and the driver and security detail sat in the front but. Being a senior government official used to being driven at these speeds, my friend expressed no concern neither did he seem to be bothered at all.

Because of this, I also did bother saying anything for some time, but I did once bring it up confessing to him I was petrified at the speed we were being driven.

That day, he told the driver to slow down and it also happened to be the day we were to drive from Nakuru Afraha Stadium in the late afternoon headed to Mombasa where the next rally was to be held. The driver was determined to get us there in a flush and I overheard him say as much to the security detail, prompting me to say something to my colleague as I couldn’t bear the scare anymore.

[I recount in my memoirs how on this trip, we were joined by an OCPD we gave a ride to Nairobi who engaged in talk with my partner on fascinating “inner government” stories but I fell asleep much of the way though I had already promised not to disclose anything I heard the two talk about, and I wouldn’t—fascinating as what little I had was].

It turns out the driver was not plucked from the Presidential Escort, but he previously drove matatus before being recruited to become a government driver.

No wonder!

I have these recollections under the above titled chapter for a reason and I may or may not share details about this trip and day I nearly perished in a road accident on the way to Mombasa, being driven in a rental car and the near miss accident occurred just before getting to our destination.

It was a terrifying experience I am debating whether to even recount but will decide if to do so and how much of it I would share, as it also involves a plot by someone who must have wanted yours truly dead.

Some things are better off forgotten and that is my current inclination.

Read more in my memoirs I hope to publish before the next elections.

 
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Posted by on May 14, 2020 in Musings, Politics

 

Insult and Disrespect Uhuru at Your Own Peril

Uhuru(3)

Every leader in any country, even one deemed to be the most feeble over time hardens and becomes shrewd to sustain themselves in power.

To insult, disrespect and belittle a president is moronic and has a price to pay for those who do so, especially anyone in a position of power linked to the leader.

This tweet by one Ken Odero is illustrative of this point:

“Jubilee Tangatanga wing assumes that Uhuru is a fool, and it’s Raila who is behind his latest purge. No. Uhuru became president with ICC hanging on his shoulders. Became president 2nd time with the worst record ever. That is not a fools fete. #UkweliUsemwe That man is ruthless!”

Uhuru was deemed to be a weak, disinterested president when vying for the presidency, and even long after he was sworn as president for the first time in 2013 but even as Ruto himself is now finding out, he and others greatly underestimated Uhuru; the man from Sugoi had no idea Uhuru can take the ax to him as he has.

Had he known, he would have played his cards differently.

And even then, he would still have had a rough time and serious obstacles to overcome to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta as all men in his position before him found out, except the late Moi who found a way to avoid all the pitfalls to succeed Uhuru’s father.

Ruto instead took advantage of what he deemed to be Uhuru’s weaknesses to chart ostensibly his own path to State House but this has backfired massively.

Indeed, Ruto’s actions and those of his foot soldiers in the frontlines delivering madharau have all along had a price tag to pay, and that time is now as they are rudely finding out.

Na mambo bado, as the popular expression goes, meaning, more of this purging or paying the price is to come.

It will therefore surprise no one that all but the most diehard loyalists in Rift Valley and some pockets of Central will soon troop back to Uhuru and seek forgiveness for straying or keeping mum when the insults were being hurled.

The sins will be forgiven unless unforgivable.

It is also the reason Ruto’s loyalists in Parliament cannot now save him from impeachment and removal as Deputy President.

Usicheze na serikali; learn to live to fight another day or, better yet, from the inside as Raila is currently doing–and no one has tried harder to beat the system but failed.

 

 
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Posted by on May 13, 2020 in Politics

 

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Onslaught Against DP William Ruto Is In High Gear

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I am starting to feel sorry for Deputy President William Ruto; the hustler is poised to lose a lot, lot more than I previously thought possible. To be sure, Ruto is a good man, it is just he became too aggressive in his quest for the presidency and along the way did things that simply alarmed a lot of people, wondering what he would be like were he to become president.

This is the primary reason most people oppose his quest for the presidency, besides the fact we do not need yet another rotation of the presidency between Kikuyus and Kalenjin; as HM Governor Ann Waiguru reminded everyone sometime ago, it is time a son or daughter of mothers in other parts of Kenya had the opportunity to lead the country.

This is a reasonable sentiment everyone aught to be able to agree and it was the subject of my Open Letter to HE President Emilio Mwai Kibaki penned almost 8 years ago and Our Brothers and Sisters From Kikuyuland Give Us A Break From Yet Another Kikuyu Presidency penned a year letter but all to no avail.

Let’s hope this is the time this message fully resonates with everyone, especially those at the controls and I feel very good this will, in fact, be the case.

Notwithstanding how I feel about the man from Sugoi, and having stated why I and others are opposed to his presidency, the writing on the wall is he is poised to suffer major loses in the hands of the system of a kind many of us did not think was possible.

For example, I did not think, and I have previously said Ruto could be removed from office via impeachment as I believed he had impeachment proof majority in Parliament but I have just in the last few days seen the contours of how Ruto can be impeached and removed from office.

Nobody has told me this but my own surmise putting two and two together is they’re putting pressure on Ruto to both exit Jubilee and resign from government, or else they simply impeach and remove him.

That’s got to be plan.

That being said, Ruto may be forced out but he will certainly give someone a run for their money come 2022, and nightmares for those not fleeing the country if he somehow makes it as president though highly unlikely.

This is also why crossed the Rubicon yesterday, it is impossible to see how Uhuru and the system reverses course to embrace even a remote prospect for Uhuru to seek the presidency; they just won’t take that risk.

There is more, but that is it for now.

Stay tuned.

 
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Posted by on May 12, 2020 in Politics

 

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Removal of Senator Ledama Olekina from CPAIC

Ledama Olekina(1)

The exchange below occurred elsewhere but am cutting and pasting here for easy reference, and for those of you who have not seen it to peruse it.

As usual, the exchange is with a blogger KM. I am SO.

KM:

SO,

“Please advise your buddy to comb his hair first so that he can comb Agwambo,” said KM sharing a video of Senator Ledama Olekina, a friend I have known for many years, in which the senator was breathing fire about efforts to remove him from the Chairmanship of CPAIC, a powerful senate committee he maintains he was properly elected to.

His party bigwigs don’t think so and the have denied him the opportunity to serve as chairman on grounds he went around them and got elected using their rival party votes, which is against party policy and therefore a disloyal move.

Nothing parties hate than disloyalty and the party, ODM, did not waste any time to register its displeasure by removing Ledama as a member of the committee, which the party has total and unfettered authority to do, which in turn therefore means Ledama cannot be chairman of the committee.

To the comment by KM, I responded,

KM,
As I have previously said, Ledama is making a mistake but I can also tell you it is an intentional mistake. Those who have been following this closely have a good idea or know why and thus my message to my good friend to re-think and politically live to fight another day over things that matter to him and the Maa community.

Being chair of CPAC this year is not one of those but, again, we have a good idea or know why he has chosen to pick and fall on this otherwise meaningless fight.

As I also previously said, his fall from ODM and even joining TangaTanga will not have any effect on what lies ahead for Uhuru/Raila and BBI.

Now, I have said I and others close to Raila and ODM inner circle know why Ledama is doing this to himself but he very much gave a big hint in this clip and his interview the other day I believe KTN when he says he is young and can wait to rise again 20 years after ostensibly the current crop of leaders are gone or elderly as to continue having him pay the price for what he is about to do, but even then he is mistaken.

Yes, the short-term rewards may be great for him for taking this move–or at least so he believes but politically it is a loser proposition as it is impossible for him to outshine whoever now emerges as the Maa kingpin, something he was close to achieving.

KM responded, and then I dissected his response as follows:

KM, I know you’re speaking from lack of inside knowledge while I know what that is but can’t divulge more than I am saying but let me say this in response to your comments now in as carefully as I can without disclosing what I know that need not be public:

You say, “Who said one can only become a Maa Kingpin via ODM?”

Not me. Read again what I said and how I put it and you should conclude the point I am making is whoever becomes the Maa kingpin for 2022 will be there for his life therefore Ledama can only hope he demises before then for him to have another chance at becoming the kingpin. His best chance was now.

You say, “That is where Raila goes wrong. He assumed he would get Kalenjin votes without Ruto but see what happened.”

While I agree with you Raila made a mistake in not courting and keeping Ruto for 2013 as I privately urged him and publicly blogged for months and months, the situation here is different therefore it is not making the same mistake regarding courting and keeping the Maa community vote.

You say “Raila needs Ledema more than Ledema needs Raila.”

False. While Ledama was certainly a rising star in Maa community and ODM, were he to exit ODM, Raila and Co will easily groom someone else, especially if reading from the same page with Uhuru.

You say, “It is such arrogance and being out of reality that will see Raila age and leave without ever sleeping in state house.”

This is just angry rhetoric so let me not bother to respond.

You say, “If his thinking is the same as yours I feel sorry for Raila.”

Your feeling sorry for Raila means he is doing something right; it’s inversed psychology I often laugh when I see it because we are all guilty of same at one point or another.

You say, “You court votes, not pee on them.”

True but no one is peeing on any votes here.

You say, “For heavens sake, he does not need Ongeri who may only give him money.”

You are assuming ODM moved to deny Ledama the position of Chairman because of Ongeri as all of you have been led to believe; however, that is is technically correct, but there is an overriding reason which we know why ODM removed Ledama from CPAIC.

You say, “Problem with Raila is that he looks at pockets and wallets and knows Ongeri will give him money which Ladema lacks.”

ALL politicians look for people with money to support them and if they can also bring votes, so much the better.

You say, ” That is being greedy.”

Obviously false, given the fact I have stated above.

You say, “It will cost him votes.”

It will cost Raila some votes but the gains are greater than those votes.

You say, “Hope he is not hoping to raise money through bribery as has been the case in the past.”

This is a false smear you are throwing out with no evidence but not surprising and no need to address it either beyond this.

He had no rebuttal; he could not possibly have one!

 
 

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Some in Central May Not Be Ready for Other than Kikuyu or Kale President, But Time Is Nigh

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As I occasionally do, I am cutting and pasting here my exchanges with one or two bloggers I usually engage on matters relating to Kenyan politics for both easy reference, and for you to peruse if you have not seen the posts elsewhere.

This exchange is by someone I refer to as KM, previously a diehard Uhuru supporter but now calls the man names and is all in for Ruto because he hates Raila and does not care for the handshake between Uhuru and Raila. He denies he does not hate Raila or Luos but what he says betrays that, except I would not say he hates Luos as whole as other tribalists from his region do.

This exchange was from May 10, 2020:

SO (that is how I am referred to)

Citing a blog touting Gatundu South MP Moses Kuria as Ruto’s running mate for 2022, the blogger noted:

Kiambu, Gatundu roots. Kuria is popular but Bill ought to seek a deputy from elsewhere. May be Kiunjuri but Meru, Muranga, Kirinyaga or Embu would be his best pick. Raila likely to get Waiguru or PK

All you need to remember is that on the ballot Uhuru will not appear anywhere. It will be Raila vs Ruto. Only a liar and somebody outvof their minds can tell you that today Raila can beat Ruto in Mt. Kenya. It will be a hard sell in Mt. Kenya and Wanjohi knows that. I would bet my votes on that area if I were Agwambo

My response:

KM it doesn’t matter who Ruto picks as his running mate; the outcome for 2022 is going to be pre-determined and unless he throws in the towel and seeks crumbs in the new government as I posited in my last week’s oped, the man from Sugoi won’t be in that government.

Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro is quoted in the article saying this:

“Whether tyrants and dictators like it or not, Moses Kuria is the incontestable Mt Kenya spokesperson and deputy president of the Republic of Kenya from 2022. If dynasties want power or cling to power, they can use KPLC power or battery power. We’re Africans and Africa is our business.”

I saw this yesterday on his Twitter and responded to him as follows:

You Ruto diehards are drunk with something but when you sober up, you’ll realize and appreciate even in this day and age long past assassinations, daring, disrespecting and insulting a president has its price to pay.

His response,

SO

All you need to remember is that on the ballot Uhuru will not appear anywhere. It will be Raila vs Ruto. Only a liar and somebody out of their minds can tell you that today Raila can beat Ruto in Mt. Kenya. It will be a hard sell in Mt. Kenya and Wanjohi knows that. I would bet my votes on that area if I were Agwambo

My response:

KM I am resigned to repeat this to no end but here we go: Raila won the presidency outright in 2007 and 2017 without the Kikuyu vote, which is really what we are talking about here.

He will do so again in 2022 except this time with a bigger margin than what he received in those two years. It is therefore irrelevant by what margin Ruto gets the Kikuyu vote, the rest of the country will be voting for change and the change will be spear-headed by Uhuru himself and others from Central (read the system) who know and agree enough is enough with this rotation of the presidency between two tribes.

Attached is a screen shot of a message from a successful and influential Kikuyu businessman who was initially critical of my penning what he termed “40 vz 2” oped but he changed his mind and agreed with my position, after I explained in more detail than what I wrote in the one piece, including sharing with him my Open Letter to HE President Emilio Mwai Kibaki, EGH, MP and Out Brothers and Sisters From Kikuyuland Needs To Give Us a Break from Yet Another Kikuyu Presidency both of which I penned prior to 2013 elections.

I told the gentleman in this case, we need a break from yet again another Kale presidency. He finally agreed and attached is his reply to that effect and my response. I am obviously withholding his identity but all I can say is, it is great to have men and women of his stature to see things our way, and the Kenyan way for that matter.

His response,

SO
That is in your imagination. Only valid argument is for 2007. Let us see how far Wanjohi will be able to him. You will still say he won in 22 when he goes back to Uhuru for a second fake swearing. He will need majority of Mt. Kenya. Also reduce Kamva votes on his tally and will understand why ODMers are desparate to get UK support. Unfortunately, Mt. Kenya region is giving Wanjohi the middle finger.

My response,
KM,

Whether it’s in my imagination or not is irrelevant; I am saying what I am, based on what I know and I am not alone in with that knowledge or view.

You obviously are basing yours entirely on the false belief that Mt. Kenya is Kenya when it is not. I’ll give you that a vast population of Kikuyus in Central will vote against Raila (and therefore benefit Ruto) simply because of their hatred of Raila and some in RV will do so for their misplaced fear of being evicted from there were Ruto to lose as he will but neither of that is going to stop Uhuru and Raila as well as the system in ensuring BBI implementation is a reality.

The ONLY way that dynamic changes, is if Uhuru reneges on the handshake and puts his weight and therefore that of the system behind someone else. That someone else will be the preside and what you can take to the bank is that someone else WON’T be Ruto.

I am all for that and even warming up to the idea of having my old friend CS Matiang’i being the compromise candidate.

 
 

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Rebutting Sentiments Expressed by William Kabogo, former Kiambu Governor Regarding Uhuru Kenyatta

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Someone commenting on a FB post shared ostensibly words of wisdom or advise from the “former governor of Kiambu” as the individual posting described him, not sure why he didn’t name him as William Kabogo, someone I would say is an old friend though we haven’t communicated in years says.

Kabogo apparently gave a tv interview, which the person summarized on the FB post as below in italics. My responses follow as to each accordingly:

1. Kenya is not in good condition for political fight, Uhuru must accept the truth.

False premise, therefore false conclusion. The argument assumes that a country must be in “good condition” for there to be political fight, which is false. Political fights take place in BOTH good and bad time; in good times because there’s someone who believes they can do better, in bad times for obvious reasons but falling back to the same principle, namely, someone who believes they can do better, and an expectation of same from their followers.

2. Power does not come from the state! but from Kenyans, My brother Uhuru must understand that.

This is generally the case in advanced democracies such as the United States and the EU where the rule of law, the absence of electoral misconduct and accountability are firmly rooted in their systems to ,make it possible for the people to freely exercise their franchise. That’s not the case in Africa, certainly not in Kenya. Libya and Egypt have also proven this “power rests with the people” is a farce.

Truth is, it takes the cooperation of the state leading the people to a more utopian state and that’s what the state is doing in this case, namely, establishing an environment it can co-exist with the people less disconcerted or ready to take up arms and fight in a bloody civil war as nearly became the case in 2008 and less so in 2017 with economic sabotage and cessation being the threat in the latter case.

3. 2017 I was rejected by Kiambu voters, then I accept and respected their choice.

This is how it should be in true and mature democracies but we know that’s not the case in Kenya, especially at presidential level, which are ALWAYS rigged in favor of the incumbent, or someone the system prefers, except in 2002, which was an aberration under circumstances not likely to repeat again.

No need to go into the weeds here on this but, as I have previously said, had Kibaki not been a Kikuyu and it was someone else pitted against Uhuru at that time, Uhuru would have been declared president in 2002. Take that to the bank. This is the situation BBI is designed to fix, namely, having presidential elections whose outcome is open, fair and transparent, even though I can say without fear of contradiction were Ruto to win the popular vote, he will be rigged out no different than Raila was at least in 2007 and 2017.

4. I want to advice my brother Uhuru, it’s majority role not minority, He should give a good environment to majority.

Again, false. The only time we have had majority decide the presidency in Kenya was in 2002. We may see the same outcome in 2020 but only if BBI is implemented as envisioned by Uhuru and Raila, otherwise, it’s status quo, meaning, the system will continue to approve who becomes president regardless of what the majority thinks, says or does, including voting.

5. If there are thieves in this country they should be in jail, starting with the real land grabber who own 0.5 of the country not the fake one.

Kabogo is obviously here referring to land owned by the Kenyatta family. This notion that the Kenyatta family should surrender stolen or grabbed land from their patriarch’s days is a non-starter. Again, not to go into the weeds on this, let me just note a couple of things, one practical, one legal. The practical is it goes without saying it’s the definition of an exercise in futility to expect the government to go after the president’s property for obvious reasons: the president has enough powers to make sure that does not happen.

That’s true in Kenya and everywhere else. Can a new president go after land illegally acquired by a former president? Of course; that’s why incumbents fight to make sure their successor is someone who would protect their interests. It is also why given the bad blood now between Uhuru and Ruto, the latter will not see the inside of State House as president as Uhuru would fear precisely what Kabogo is suggesting here and so will make sure that does not happen.

The legal reason why this may not happen, namely, repossessing land from Kenyatta family is what is known as “statute of limitations.” The statute of limitations law provides in the case of Kenya, that one cannot seek to recover land if 12 years have passed since the person had a right to recover that land. under the law. There are exceptions that may be applicable, but the Kenyattas have enough money and other incentives (read: power) to make sure judgment is in their favor. In sum, forget about Kenyatta land ever reverting to the public. Now, Ruto, is a different story as none of the foregoing apply in his case.

6. The government should give solution not suggestions and propaganda, if Ruto is the Kenyans solution just give him space.

Not sure what Kabogo means by that but it is true as a general proposition that the government should give solutions and not suggestions or propaganda. We know Ruto is NOT the solution because at the core of what BBI intends to resolve, is this revolving of the presidency between two tribes in a country of more than 40 tribes.

This must come to an end and, to their credit, Uhuru and the system agree and so it shall be. We’ll have a president other than a Kikuyu or Kale for the first time, and that is a good thing. Equally important, we will have peaceful presidential election devoid of destruction of property, violence and deaths because BBI is designed to have a negotiated and agreed to line-up to take over, power come 2022.

7. We must accept Ruto has75% support from Kenyans and we must respect the majority.

False.

The majority of Kenya want a government that works to their benefit, one that reflects the country in its composition, and one formed after peaceful elections devoid of destruction of property, violence and deaths, which is exactly what BBI is designed to deliver.

 
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Posted by on May 5, 2020 in Politics

 

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Electing Joe Biden in 2020 in the United States, Team Uhuru/Raila in 2022 in Kenya

Biden President

I first got involved in American politics back in 1994, when I volunteered to campaign for now former Governor of Maryland, Paris Glendening when he was vying for that seat for the first time. Glendening was my college professor at the University of Maryland, College Park (UMCP) where I had the privilege to be his Teaching Assistant, a position I held before being selected to study leadership at the James MacGregor Burns Academy of Leadership at the same university led and named after the renowned and now late historian and political scientist Dr. James MacGregor Burns.

Campaigning for Glendening was quite an interesting experience and on the campaign trail I got to meet and interact with many Who is Who in Maryland politics, including the Kennedy family. I would later work for the venerable and now late US Senator Edward M. Kennedy himself as an Intern, having been selected for the gig through the UMCP Capitol Hill Honors Program.

I should also note I was studying Government and Politics at UMCP when I first met Glendening. I recall walking into his class for the first time and, I think being the oldest student in the class by visualization (I was a returning student, having taken significant time off studies to venture into all manner of things, including business) but be that as it may, the good professor took interest in my journey and it was then he asked me to be his teaching assistant and I gladly agreed.

Glendening started serving his first term in January 1995 and, having just embarked on my law school studies at Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey Law School, I was of the belief at the time I would start my legal career working for the governor, if he got reelected, as I expected he would.

Governor Glendening was re-elected but my career plans changed just before graduation from law school as I went on to start my own private practice, mostly handling immigration law matters that I concluded would be more fulfilling helping fellow immigrants with their legal immigration needs.

My next campaign experience in the United States was in 2000, when I volunteered to work for the Al Gore campaign. For those of you too young to know, Al Gore was Vice-President for Bill Clinton, who was president of the United States from 1993 to 2001.

Al Gore maintains he won the presidency in 2000 but was denied serving by Republican judges in the US Supreme Court, who appointed George W. Bush as president, following disputed election results from the state of Florida, which the Supreme Court stopped recounting of the votes and decided that Bush had won the state, and therefore the presidency (due to the electoral college system in the US, who became president that year depended on who won the state of Florida).

Many of us recall where we were when the Supreme Court made the announcement; it was as if the world had come to an end!

But it did not; we lived and moved on to fight another day.

For me, fighting another day was a few years later when I was approached by a good friend and was asked to join a committee in Washington, DC to help elect someone by the name Barrak Obama, then vying for the US Senate from the state of Illinois.

I didn’t know who Obama was; in fact, as it would turn out, nobody knew who he was so when I would call or ask fellow Kenyans, or Africans for that matter to contribute to his campaign, few believed when I would tell them Obama has his roots in Kenya. I, for one, came to learn much later that my oldest brother helped his father in securing a job with the Kenya government as an economist.

I would later meet and come to know then state Senator Barrack Obama very well, with our efforts having paid off as he was successful in being elected as US senator in 2004.

I’ll have more to say about this later but for now let me just say when Obama announced his quest for the presidency on February 10, 2007, I was least enthusiastic because I didn’t think he was ready for “Prime Time,” having only been elected as US senator and served less than a full term; my thinking was, he at least should serve a full term before aiming higher.

Senator Edward M Kennedy, one of my political mentors from the days I worked for him as a Congressional Intern, and a good segment of the Democratic Party machinery had other ideas: they wanted Obama to vie, and they were determined to see him elected as the first black US president.

I nonetheless remained convinced this was a bad mistake, besides, Hillary Clinton, who I favored was someone who impressed me from the day I met her and Tipper Gore (Al Gore’s wife) during one of the functions I attended at the Capitol as a Congressional Intern. You can say I was star-struck from that moment and, in my view, she was far much more prepared to be president than Obama was.

Indeed, so much so was I convinced this was the case, I volunteered to campaign for Hillary during the early primaries for the Democratic Party nomination.

However, sooner than later, the writing was on the wall Obama was the man to beat and was unbeatable all the way and when I saw the writing in bold letters, I switched from supporting Hillary, to supporting and volunteering to have Obama nominated.

Although my plans were to continue volunteering to help Obama to both get nominated and to get him elected as president in the general elections, I decided to go home (Kenya) in the fall of 2007 to help get a good friend, Raila Odinga, get elected president there. This was an experience I will say more later, suffice to say it changed my life, in part because of the sacrifices I mad that ended up affecting my professional career and more.

I can say for now when the country (Kenya) was engulfed in post-election violence, I decided to return to the US in the first week of January 2008 where myself and a several Kenyans of goodwill heavily lobbied in Washington for a peaceful resolution of the crisis back home and, the efforts paid off as we succeeded in having the Government of National Unity in Kenya, bringing together Mwai Kibaki and Raila Odinga, as president and prime minister, respectfully.

The highlight from the period for me, besides damage caused to my law practice, was the letter below I wrote to then US President George W Bush and the letter was hand delivered to him via his then VP Dick Cheney, through then Senator Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, who received it from his eye doctor and a mutual friend who suggested that I write the letter and he’ll see to it that the president gets it:

Letter1
Letter2
Letter3
Letter5Letter6My friend, Dr. B confirmed for me the letter was hand delivered to the president as described above, and it was soon after that we saw a shift in the US position about the situation in Kenya.

Again, I have more to say about this in my full memoir, this is just a fyi as the subject is what’s ahead, not where we have come from; there will be time for the latter later.

From the night of 2016 elections in the US, when I realized Trump was going to win the presidency against all odds, I practically tuned out of American politics. Of course, no matter how much you tune out and ignore, it’s impossible not to get the whiff of madness we are all experiencing as a country in the hands of this once in several lifetimes presidency—and all for the worse and worst reasons.

So much so was I tuned out of American politics, I did not care to even follow the Democratic Party primaries—the only thing I said is the party better not be foolish enough to nominate someone who Trump will floor with ease.

That remained to be the case all through the primaries until toward the end when my daughter Salima made a good case as only she can, why I should not keep away from American politics as I was. With that, I obliged and resumed following American politics and now getting ready to once again volunteer for the winning Joe Biden/Woman team.

To this end, I am happy to be part of the Service Outreach Unity Leadership (S.O.U.L.) of the Nation, a major initiative by the Joe Biden campaign to engage ethnic and heritage communities across the nation as we embark to make America great again.

I appeal to all those of you in the United States to find ways to be part of this significant journey and this can be as simple as making a financial contribution of as little as $5, which you can do so here.

For Kenya, coronavirus has temporarily put things on hold but, make no mistake, BBI is still humming in the background and will soon resume in full gear as we bring it to the logical conclusion, and that is, making sure its core provisions on governance become law, followed by establishing a line-up to sweep elections come 2022.

[Unedited]

 
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Posted by on April 27, 2020 in Politics

 

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