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Monthly Archives: December 2019

What Is Uhuru Up-to with BBI and 2022?

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For those who follow this blog or column, you’ll know I rarely separate Uhuru and his older brother Raila when it comes to analyzing their moves as they must go in tandem.

However, that’s not to mean the two leaders are in agreement 100%; rather, I am sure either men being the savvy politicians they are, they will be the first ones to admit you always must leave something for yourself just in case things don’t go in the direction you intend, even as you walk in tandem and principally agree on everything that matters.

Right now, there is an open question whether Uhuru would want to be part of the next government come 2022. The prevailing view among most analysists and political observers is, No, Uhuru will retire from politics after 2022 and join other retired presidents younger as he is, compared to the other two Wazees.

What Uhuru decides about this question obviously has a bearing on what happens with Raila’s own prospects in the succession game, even as Uhuru is committed to honor the handshake and her baby, meaning the handshake’s baby, BBI.

A blogger by the name James Ole Mugo posted and posited as follows on his Facebook page:

1. Prime minister – Uhuru (Jubilee party).
2. Deputy prime minister (1) – Musalia (ANC).
3. Deputy prime minister (2) – Gideon (KANU).
4. President – (Raila).
5. Vice president – (Kalonzo Musyoka).

It does make some sense, and I wonder how one person will beat all these guys.

I then shared this post in a Kenya forum and noted as follows:

KM na wengine, this is but one realistic possibility, Mugo’s question is rhetorical, meaning Ruto can’t beat that lineup.

To this, the aforementioned KM responded and I took the liberty to respond to him as follows and I share as I often do for the benefit of others not in that forum:

KM your’e sometimes very good when peddling or spinning Mt. Kenya anti-Raila/anti-Uhuru/pro-Ruto propaganda but you’ve surprised me in how clueless you are with this or either that you know but are doing your best to engage in alternate reality Trump style.

Be as it may, let me enlighten you and others or otherwise rectify your misconceptions:

You say, “This will go no where. First Uhuru will not run. Nobody except a few who think his bid can help them wants him run. Remove his name first.”

The mistake you’re making here or what you don’t know is Uhuru need not run for any office other than leader of a political party to accomplish what needs to be accomplished.

I know you will not even think about disagreeing that Uhuru will easily be elected as party leader in the upcoming Jubilee elections so no issue there, meaning, that piece is in place for what needs to be done next in lining up 2022 as I have been alluding to.

You say, “To be prime minister, one must be MP.” No; not necessarily! Although it’s true in most parliamentary systems the prime minister is also an elected MP, this is Kenya we are talking about and hybrid parliamentary system so we can and are likely to have a PM who is simply the leader of the party with the most seats in Parliament or one who heads a coalition that does. wrong!

You say, “Remove those who cannot run for parliamentary seats from the list.” I am sure you now see vying for parliament is irrelevant relative to PM position.

You say, “So Uhuru will run under Jubilee or ODM?“–again, irrelevant in Uhuru becoming PM. Btw, even if it were the case one MUST be MP to be PM, Uhuru can and shall be an MP even if your dreams EVERYONE voted against him in Gatundu. Hell; Uhuru can be sworn MP of ANY constituency in Kenya.

You say, “Kalonzo will be anywhere with Raila.” I think you mean “Kalonzo will NOT be anywhere with Raila” and to that I tell  you it’s also irrelevant though it’s unlikely he would turn down that opportunity. Quite frankly, I wish he turns it down because I know who will easily take it and bring even more into the equation.

You say “Use dump move by Agwambo and Uhuru will not serve him [Kalonzo]. Remove Kalonzo from that list and we can talk then.” Again, Kalonzo being on the list is no big deal; we can remove and replace him with any number of several individuals quite capable of filling the slot and even bringing more to the table than does Kalonzo so this is no biggie at all.

You say, “Ignore Ruto and shock will find out.” On this one, you may be surprised–and I have hinted and even openly said as much: Ruto puts tail between his legs, humbles himself then Uhuru and Raila can accommodate him in the new government structure.

I’ll be all for that but first things first, let him not act as though he has more or bigger balls than all before him who have been cast in the same position, namely, trying to beat a system that doesn’t want them.

You say, “PM post is only promissory deal.” No; PM post is a new position to be recreated in the government and is NOT promised to anyone but a person meeting the qualifications and requirements to hold the office.

You say, “If Raila gives Kalonzo VP post (very very unlikely), Ruto will get Kiunjuri or another Mt. Kenya fellow. The rest is history.” Again, PM position is not a brown bag to be given to anyone willy-nilly. There will be requirements as to who qualifies to get the position and that’s how the position will be given. Of course, the lineup we are talking about is a group of smart, savvy politicians best positioning themselves to grab everything come 2022 and nothing wrong or contradictory about that.

You say, “What makes you think Ruto will not give PM post to Uhuru or Mudavadi?” Again, the PM position is not a brown bag; and even if it were and Ruto gave it to Mudavadi, then Mudavadi will have a choice to make: take Ruto’s or Uhuru’s; only an idiot will take Ruto’s and not the president’s.

You say, “There will be several folks on the ballot, some hoping to get Mt. Kenya votes Raila is assuming will be his via Uhuru.” No; Raila only needs some of the votes in Mt. Kenya, which he’ll get more than before with his younger brother and hanshake partner Mr. UK being a factor; the rest can go to Ruto or whoever and it’ll be irrelevant in the equation.

You say, “So with Kalonzo, Mudavadi running and so out of PM posts and Uhuru not running in Gatundu (no chance, zero, Nada of Uhuru being MP or running on ODM), what options does ODM have?” You are posing a question based on FALSE premises therefore no answer is called for as that answer will also be FALSE.

You say, “So you think BBI will know have all these posts?” Yes

You say, “Aren’t they also going to help Ruto?” Not anywhere near how they will help Kenya and the forces that want to take Kenya in a new direction of inclusivity and definitely away from this false and backward belief only sons of two tribes in Kenya can lead the country as president.

You say, “PM post will go the party with largest members or coalition. So Uhuru will be PM under which party? ODM?” I refer you to what I have said about this above and that is, irrelevant in the final analysis: No need to be MP to be PM and, even it were, Uhuru can be MP of ANY constituency in Kenya of his liking.

You say, “Jubilee elections will be in march. Will then see if Uhuru will be in control of the party.” On this, we are on the same page. When David Murathe resigned from Jubilee, I opined that Jubilee is therefore dead. I then expected an exodus of prominent MPs Aisha Jumwaing Jubilee but that did not come to pass; now, looking back, the strategists advising Uhuru came up with a different plan and I love it.

Murathe spilled it out yesterday but it has yet to reverberate as it will and people will know hii si mchezo (this is no game) even though one can argue it’s one but high stakes.

You say, “He [Uhuru] will either retire in 22 or be forced to retire.” Neither will happen. I can tell you I know someone who speaks to Uhuru very regularly that told me sometime back and in no uncertain terms that Uhuru will NOT seek any office come 2022, and that he will retire and I believed him.

However, much as I know he was telling me the truth as he knew it, even he must be surprised by the recent turn of events on Uhuru’s position it’s likely Uhuru himself changed his mind and now wants to do exactly what Murathe outlined, which I support it 100%.

You say, “Is Raila still interested in a powerful PM post but weak presidency?” I don’t know but personally I wouldn’t mind that being the case.

I’ll address a couple of issues I see related to this last point in my next oped, which has to do with how Uhuru and Raila serving in the same government would be relative to their statuses.

 

 
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Posted by on December 31, 2019 in Politics

 

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Wisdom Primarily for Married Couples

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Not exactly politics but I thought I share this musing a friend of the subject shared.

A man packs his belongings after a hotel stay during a business trip and heads home. In unpacking his bags, his wife finds an unused packet of condoms.

Without saying anything to her husband, the wife places the condoms on his side of bed nightstand.

The husband sees them and, puzzled, asks his wife why she thought after all these years of marriage (15) it was necessary to use condoms, and also given she had tubal ligation after the birth of their second child.

The wife did not say much other than to say she appreciated the man was being safe when “sleeping around” but the marriage was over as far as she was concerned. Confused and puzzled at the same time, the man prodded his wife to explain what the heck she was talking about as he had no clue.

“I found those in your bag when I was unpacking!” she yelled back at him.

The man, as best and as calmly as he could, tried to explain to the wife he had no idea how that could be because he never procured the condoms and neither did he pack them.

She could hear none of it but instead berated the man and long story short, the marriage was irreparably damaged from that moment on as the man simply retreated and, to make matters worse, the wife, who was convinced her husband was “sleeping around,” started her own affair with another man.

The husband found out about the affair and the couple with now 2 teenage children, divorced.

The condom package was in one of the hotel drawers the husband had put his personals and he unknowingly had them packed along with his stuff when he was packing to leave the hotel.

The man had not previously cheated on his wife; at least he so maintains, and neither did he do so even after the ugly confrontation about the condoms.

Only the wife did following that incident, and based on her now obviously mistaken belief and all this from an innocent act of the man unknowingly packing the pack of condoms.

Moral of the story: Don’t rush to conclusions even when you think you have all the evidence; there just could be an innocent explanation just as this one.

 
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Posted by on December 13, 2019 in Musings, Uncategorized

 

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It’s About Time Uhuru Got Angry–And Started Flexing His Presidential Muscles to Right the Haywire Ship

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According to the Star,  President Uhuru Kenyatta greets John Cardinal Njue during the official hand-over ceremony of Mang’u Dispensary Outpatient Block in Kiambu County.

President Uhuru Kenyatta on Wednesday told off Mt Kenya leaders over politics surrounding the BBI report.

Admitting that his was ‘a bit angry’, Uhuru said people think he knows nothing when he keeps quiet.

Speaking in the Kikuyu dialect, Uhuru appeared to be responding to 57 MPs who met in Embu and took a position on the report on behalf of the region.

He spoke in Gatundu North, Kiambu county, when he presided over the official handover ceremony of Mang’u Dispensary Outpatient Block.

The facility was developed by the Japanese Embassy in Kenya.

The Embu meeting was also attended by Agriculture CS Mwangi Kiunjuri, who has now twice been with the MPs before they issue statements that appear to contradict Uhuru.
“They see me silent and think ‘he is just there and knows nothing’. There is nothing I do not know and when the time comes, I know those who speak and they are not those who are speaking now,” the President said.

He added; “Don’t allow people to keep telling you things like you are fools. You’re not foolish. And don’t allow people to make you look stupid to the point they must come and lecture you… that every time they come, it is just lecturing you on what you should do.”

Last week, a section of leaders from the Mt Kenya region agreed that Parliament is the way to implement the BBI proposals as opposed to a referendum.

This comes after the 57 leaders held a two-day retreat in Embu to discuss the way forward on the BBI report.

Some in social media are claiming Uhuru was drunk and that’s why he lashed out.

My response:

This has nothing to do with alcohol or being drunk; rather, Uhuru is doing what some of us have been urging him to do for a very long time and that is, he needs to start acting the boss he is. He has let the disrespect and other undesirables go on too long and we know in some quarters (yours especially), hakuna hata heshimu kidogo and that’s not good for the country–forget about him as an individual.

The country. Our beloved country.

We need a strong, respected and at times feared president. His father was one and I wouldn’t mind his tactics minus the obvious (read: assassinations), Moi perfected the art, Kibaki was coy but stealthy in the exercise of raw power but Uhuru has been hovering in no man’s land for way too long in this tussle soon to be a major skrimish between Raila and Ruto–which is really the only thing goin on in the country it’s about time he starts flexing his muscles na kunyorosha watu bila kuua, maharawe hapa na pale sawa.

 

 
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Posted by on December 4, 2019 in Politics

 

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