My responses to RB1:
You say, “They just expect magic to happen” referring to ODM expected win to retain the Kibra seat that was declared vacant owing for death of former holder of the seat.
No; magic tricks are for entertainment but this is serious politics with all manner of implications so nobody is at Orange House practicing magic tricks.
“They dismissed Kalenjin votes in 13 & 17.” False. I spent the entire time I was in Kenya for elections in 2013 in mostly Rift Valley and only once in Coast and I was in the Advance Team of Two who worked literally around the clock coordinating rallies and local issues so speak to what you know or can speculate but don’t state as fact something which is false. In 2017, the strategy was different but no one “dismissed”the Kalenjin vote as that would be idiotic.
Equally vigorous efforts were undertaken to harvest votes in Rift Valley as whole, much as was the case across the country so what you’re saying here is false.
You say, “NASA” lost badly.” yes, but rigging had no small role in that, which you can poopoo all you wish but is FACT.
You say, “Kamba gone and huge chuck of Coast and Western gone.”
False on all counts. What I know is going on even as you’re busy imagining things here, is there are ongoing negotiations by all key Kenyan politicians, including all NASA principals on how best to shape the upcoming new alliance that will be unique in so many ways, not the least of which is robbing in a sitting president. Compare that to Narc when it was an effort to defeat the then Moi project.
You say, “Remember Ruto delivered to Jubilee Western.”
False. The thuggish rigging in August 2017 that led to the country’s historic nullification of the elections don’t count for nothing. Raila obviously won Western in 2013 by miles.
You say, “He [Ruto] will do better esp with BBI katiba where Luhyias get big posts, either DP or Prime Minister.”
Nothing wrong to so wish; reality is, Raila will once again easily floor whoever is matched with him for votes in Western in 2022. The PM position is a wild card that is kept so secret as to who it will be it will not be unveiled until the BBI referendum is ripe for voting–and probably not even then. I and others, of course, are rooting for, and backing Her Majesty Lady Anne Waiguru to be the PM or at least DPM.
You say, “He told me that teo (sic) visiting Kisii MPs told them that Ruto will lead in Kisii and praised him. Check out if that is true and update SO tafadhali. The truth will deliver us from evil.” The person was either hallucinating or had had one too many to drink or just plain drunk. If neithr, he is one of the brown bag beneficiaries not that Kisii politicians are immune from contracting the disease.
Kisiis are stubbornly independent but Ruto faces different dynamics there unlike Raila so let me just leave it there.
You say, “If Ruto has Kisii, his win will be a landslide.” He doesn’t therefore there are no landslides to speak of unless you’re talking about Raila.
You say, “Another NEP mp told a Kisii Kisii friend that folks like him because he shares his wealth with others. They tried saying it is stolen funds but she said even Raila stole but keeps his wealth to himself.” This is one of the fallacies that takes different permutations in Ruto lore peddled here and on the ground, but, I’ll dedicate a column or blog just to expose it to those who don’t know already it’s a big fallacy designed to hoodwink the gullible.
We are here to save them from that so stay tuned.