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Monthly Archives: December 2016

Jubilee Election Law Evidence of Rigging

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In Jubilee Election Law Evidence of Rigging, I make the case the recent shameless ramming through of new election laws was illadvised and backward.

Exerpts:

Japan sits in one of the most earthquake prone regions in the world so after many decades of research, the country now also has the most advanced earthquake early warning system that already prevented widespread injury and saved thousands of lives.

In other words, when the Japanese realized Mother Nature is never going to give them a break from these disastrous earthquakes, they did not throw up their hands in exasperation and say there was nothing they could do; rather, they went to work devising not just early warning technologies but also better building codes to deal with the menace.

Earthquakes are to Japan what rigging is to Kenya so, like the Japanese, the opposition must study the warning signs of rigging and devise ways to counter it as effectively as the Japanese have done to earthquakes.

Jubilee MPs just shamelessly rammed through amendments to the Election Law that are designed to give their party legally sanctioned opportunities to rig.

So, the better response has to be first and foremost the opposition coming together and then formulating a strategy to defeat Jubilee much as was the case in 2002 when the opposition united to defeat Uhuru then who was considered Moi’s project to extend his presidency.

There’s a simple formula for this to be done; reward Raila for his life-long quest to make Kenya a better country by making him the flagbearer for the opposition much as the person he toshad was in 2002 but edge an agreement in stone that his will be a negotiated one term presidency and hand over the mantle to his successor in 2022 who will be nominated by ballot in the new coalition primary election or whoever can convince the other leaders in opposition to endorse him or her.

If that is done, no amount of rigging will keep Jubilee in power beyond 2017.

Saying no amount of rigging will keep Jubilee in power beyond 2017 recognizes in that assessment the presumption that the newly minted Chief Justice David Maraga and a majority of his colleagues like Justice Lenaola who have always demonstrated their soundness in judgment based on fact and law, not emotions or inappropriate influence, will do the right thing and refuse to validate rigged elections where there’s glaring evidence of same presented.

The shameless ramming through of these undemocratic and backward amendments is Exhibit A of that evidence.

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Posted by on December 30, 2016 in Law, Politics

 

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Women In Politics Is Not End of Chivarly

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In Women In Politics Not End To Chivalry, make the case just because a woman decides to enter the political arena to vie for public office does not mean that’s the end to chivalry in as far as she is concerned.

Rather, women in politics yes must undergo the normal rough and tumble of political life but in the end they are still women deserving of greater sensitivity and respect than one would expect from one male politician to another.

Excerpts:

As father of two teenage girls and a young lad, I have always known before any of them freely breathed on earth how to treat a woman or what to expect from a man is not something a father has to lecture his children about but something he simply has to teach them by example in how he treats their mother; if he ever says anything worth noting about the subject, it’s simply to reinforce the right message he has otherwise conveyed.

On the other hand, there’s the proverbial counsel to young women that if they want to know how a man would treat them in marriage, they first must observe and learn how the man treats his mother.

Thus, where one is raised in a family where the father treats his wife with respect, is never abusive and takes care of the family in every respect, then one can expect a young man emerging from such a household doing the same thing to the women in his life, especially one he takes as his pride.

However, marrying into a good family and having a perfect husband—well, as nearly a perfect husband as one can have is not all a woman would want; rather, the modern woman wants more than just bearing and raising children.


Not too long ago, we witnessed the manifestation of this notion on public TV when a woman candidate for governor was subjected to public humiliation and smear unlike any of her counterparts have ever received in Kenya leading to the question, does one need to be this much uncouth in bringing down his opponent and more so a woman?

The answer is obviously no; one can be critical of a female candidate without getting into the salacious and utterly irrelevant details of the kind we saw valid or not.

Meanwhile, when Mrs. Pasaris was savagely attacked by one of the wishful gubernatorial candidates, one Miguna Miguna, those who like this type of savagery cheered him and were all giddy oblivious of the fact they were cheering their own uncouthness and stupidity.

This is what’s wrong with our politics in Kenya where grown men and women are willing to readily accept mediocrity, incompetence and abhorrent corruption simply because the culprits are fellow tribesmen or those aligned with their tribal party much the same way they cheered Miguna.

Nobody is suggesting that women should be stuffed into positions they don’t want or nominated to legislative office they cannot get elected on their own; rather, where one is qualified to vie as Mrs. Pasaris is, there should be unanimous condemnation of those who would malign and smear a candidate just because she’s a woman.

We should judge and elect our office holders based on their leadership ability and vision not all this other nonsense such as name calling and smearing which has reached toxic levels in the country and doubly so when mixed with tribalism.

We can and must do better.

 

 
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Posted by on December 23, 2016 in Politics

 

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Time For A Political Tsunami in Kenya

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In my oped this week Time for Political Tsunami in Kenya, I make note conditions are ripe in Kenya for the opposition to mobilize mass rejection of Uhuru and his Jubilee government much the same way they rejected him in 2002 when then president Daniel arap Moi attempted to force him down our throats.

I offer as reason (1) Uhuru’s amazing failure to take advantage of his being sworn as president to unite the country, which he has clearly failed to do (2) his failure to curb, let alone fight corruption that has exploded to fatalistic levels and (3) his failure to implement much of what he promised during the campaigns leaving Kenyans even worse than they were before he assumed office.

Excerpts:

There’s no arguing, however, that the white supremacists alone would not have elected Trump but in such a close election, their mobilisation in the key states where the Republican candidate needed to win made the difference.

Similarly, no amount of mobilisation of one tribe or two alone can ever elect one President in this country, given the 50 per cent plus one constitutional requirement. A presidential candidate must win 25 per cent of the votes cast in each of more than half of the 47 counties.

Going strictly by the numbers of raw votes cast, this did not happen in 2013 — again, something diehard Jubilee supporters know but cannot publicly admit. We were nonetheless told by the Supreme Court that Uhuru Kenyatta’s election as President was constitutionally valid.

We accepted and moved on. But we now have another opportunity, in a few months time, to elect our next President.

Are Kenyans revulsed by what the Jubilee government has done or failed to do such that they will in huge numbers come out to vote against it and say ‘enough is enough’ as they did in 2002?

The opposition certainly thinks so. That’s why the talk of the National Super Alliance is giving many in Jubilee sleepless nights. This is because were NASA to successfully launch, it’s bye bye to all of them and hello to new leadership in this country.

 
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Posted by on December 21, 2016 in Politics

 

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Trump’s Foreign Policy In Africa

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In Trump’s Foreign Policy in Africa, I summarize views recently expressed in a Conference Call organized by the Washington, DC Think Tank Wilson Center.

Excepts:

Customarily, when dominant parties in mature democracies swap power after an election, one can generally predict the direction of the country policy-wise, given the victorious party’s ideology.

Thus, if the winning party is liberal, one can expect a government friendly to the needs of the underprivileged and the middle-class.

If, on the other hand, the winning party is conservative, one can expect a government hostile to the same groups but friendly to the rich.

Making the situation even more fascinating, the President-elect is someone who has been a life-long member and supporter of the losing party and one, if life depended on it, would readily admit he’s more aligned with the ideology of the losing party than the one he won the elections under its banner. This leads to the question many have been asking and continue to, what kind of President will Donald Trump be?

The short answer is, nobody knows.

Overall, McNamee is of the view that none other than African dictators and others elected under dubious circumstances are gleeful with the election of Trump because they can point to his election and say, “See, it’s not only in Africa people who don’t win the popular votes are elected President: The US too does the same thing. So ignore their lectures about democratic elections blah, blah” — to paraphrase what the good doctor said.

That sentiment doesn’t bode well for democracy in Africa.

 
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Posted by on December 13, 2016 in Politics

 

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Can IEBC Chair Be Fair and Impartial?

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In A Fair and Impartial IEBC Chair?, I make the case it’s possible but those charged with the responsibility to pick the next chair of this important body must do the utmost in screening and selecting only an incorruptible person who can ensure we once again have a fair and transparent election even half as good as we had in 2002, the only time it can be said we have not had an election riddled with rigging and all manner of corruption as to negate the will of the majority of the voters going to the polls as we have always had as the case going back to our country’s independence.

Excepts:

When President-elect Donald Trump was in the middle of his campaign, a political analyst in the US said Trump lied like a thug, daring anyone to challenge him, while Hillary Clinton was more nuanced in her lying, leaving room to explain away the lie, being the good lawyer she is.

Fast-forward to the 2007 and 2013 general elections and one cannot but conclude the Kivuitu who chaired the ECK in 2007 goes down in history as having presided over the most flagrant, in-your-face rigging of an election and, worse one who, like a thug, dared anyone to challenge him.

For his part, when Issack Hassan was selected to chair the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission in 2011, he presided over questionable elections in 2013, where the rigging may not have been as in your face as was the case in 2007 but, like the smooth lying by Clinton, giving herself plenty of room to wiggle away, Hassan, too, pulled off serious rigging with plenty of room to explain away much of the irregularities that took place.

The onus is on those charged with the responsibility of finding one to do so and with urgency for, surely, we don’t want the IEBC once again being led by those capable of smiling at us while bludgeoning our feeble democracy to death, if not creating forces that literally kill Kenyans.

 

 
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Posted by on December 2, 2016 in Law, Politics

 

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