Poll Predicts Raila and Cord Will Win 2013 Elections

11 Jan


A few days ago I blogged that if the then soon to be released numbers by Infotrak and Synovate Ipsos reflect those that have been conducted privately but not published, those not supporting Raila will be having stomach upsets, triple so those who hate Raila.

According to a poll just published by Infotrak, an alliance that brings together Prime Minister Raila Odinga, Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka and Trade Minister Moses Wetangula, Coalition for Reforms and Democracy (CORD) is the most popular coalition at 49 percent, says the Standard, which analyzed the poll data.

Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and MP William Ruto’s Jubilee alliance is second in popularity with 40 percent. United Democratic Front led by DPM Musalia Mudavadi comes a distance third with 3 percent in the latest opinion released on Friday.

The data shows the most popular presidential aspirant and their running mates are Raila-Kalonzo at 51 percent followed by Uhuru-Ruto at 39 percent,  Mudavadi 3 percent,  Kenneth-Tuju 3 percent, Karua 0.3 percent and Kiyiapi 0.1 percent.

Cord alliance enjoys the most support in North Eastern region with 85 percent followed by Nyanza region at 82 percent  while Jubilee alliance is leading in Central region at 85 percent followed by Rift Valley at 52 percent.

UDF most support is in Western region at 23 percent.

The poll showed that in regions considered to have swing votes, Coast is likely to remain Cord dominant if they increase impetus in their campaigns in the region. Currently they have 58 percent popularity.

In Rift Valley, Jubilee will likely remain dominant if the alliance increases its’ impetus in campaigns to protect their popularity. Currently it has 52 percent.

I am fairly certain the latest Ipsos Synovate to be published soon will show the same results, if not better for Raila and Cord.

Polling by others (not necessarily only those commissioned by Cord) show an even larger lead by Cord well over the 50% +1 margin and very close to crossing the 25 county margin in Round 1 while it will take somewhat of a miracle for Uhuru to cross the 25 county margin even in Round 2, which I maintain there will be not be Round 2.

Wait for the usual suspects to come out seething, condemning the pollsters as skewed, biased, blah, blah, blah.

Republicans in the US in denial said and did the same thing about polling showing Obama winning against all odds and look who is still crying like babies long after Obama whipped their behinds.

The same is happening in Kenya.

Every poll taken thus far shows Raila is the man, his opponents and haters refuse to believe but no one is foolish enough to think they don’t privately know and are resigned to the fact they can’t do anything to stop Raila from being reelected and sworn as our next president.

I have been urging people for a long time to start practicing saying HE President Raila Amolo Odinga or be prepared to hear those majestic words for a long time to come, beginning March 4, 2013.

Those who dismissed this as wishful thinking, better start doing just that if they haven’t already.

I fully realize there are those whose heads are buried deep on the ground and wish not to hear or see anything positive about Raila and now Cord, but they too shall soon come to realize all that is in vein destiny is taking us all in one direction and that’s where we elect a president and others who have the leadership skills, desire and ability to take our country forward, not backward.

There is only one person who can do that at the top among those with any serious chance of being elected and that’s none other than Raila Amolo Odinga.

That’s a fact anyone looking at the field objectively must agree with or disagree with only if being dishonest.

Again, practicing those words or getting ready to hear them is advised.


Posted by on January 11, 2013 in Politics


Tags: , , , , , , ,

2 responses to “Poll Predicts Raila and Cord Will Win 2013 Elections

  1. alumabanda

    January 11, 2013 at 7:58 AM


    Please spare us this kamba nane melody for today! Who cares! Let’s mourn our citizens for once Kenyans


    Sent via BlackBerry from T-Mobile

  2. Fazul Abdullah (@Fazul_)

    January 16, 2013 at 5:08 AM

    Raila will forever be our opinion poll president, but nothing more.


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