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An Open Letter To Hon. Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi, Deputy Prime Minister, E.G.H., M.P.

11 Apr

Dear  Hon. Mudavadi:

I feel compelled to once again write to you Mr. Deputy Prime Minister.

In my previous communication to you about two months ago, I noted a number of things that are worth repeating if anything to put what I am about to convey to you in proper context as I am sure you have probably forgotten what it is I said, the busy man you are and that’s assuming you received my letter.

You served as one of our country’s youngest ministers back in 1989, having succeeded your late father as M.P. for Sabatia and you have now made your way to serving as our Deputy Prime Minister.

You also to this day remain the holder of the dubious title of “Shortest Serving Vice President” in our country.

Indeed, many had politically written you off, following the 2002 elections in which the country loudly said no to you and then KANU presidential candidate and now fellow Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta.

To be fair and in hindsight, that was more about ending the Moi regime than a judgement of you individually beyond your decision to accept the VP running mate position—something many a politician of the day would have done, anyway.

To your wisdom and wise counsel, however, you regrouped in time and aligned yourself with the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) where having received 391 votes to Raila’s 2,656 for party nomination, Raila made you his running mate for the 2007 elections.

The rest, as they say, is history but a few things need to be noted:

First, you have served the country well as one of our two Deputy Prime Ministers.

Indeed, a convincing case can be made you have served more effectively and accomplished more as DPM than your colleague Uhuru Kenyatta.

Second, unlike many in your situation, you have not carried yourself as one who believes holding public office is an entitlement by virtue of family background.

Instead, you have curved yourself a path to political and business success not necessarily all owing to the fact you were born to privilege but in spite of it.

No one can say, however, that your rise to where you are has not been due to that very fact of your family background.

That you have been the beneficiary of a privileged family background is true but there is nothing wrong with that and neither is it something not to be proud of as many others born to same or similar background have either wasted away or otherwise not accomplished much in life.

Third, you are once again placed in a situation where you must draw upon the same wisdom and counsel as you did back in 2005 when you decided to warm up-to and join ODM albeit with one major distinction:

When I last wrote to you this, I stated that the decision you had to make was far more delicate and complicated at the same time than the one you had to make back in 2005 which few would disagree it was the only wise decision you could have made at that time were you to have any chance of reviving yourself politically.

That decision was whether or not to aggressively seek ODM nomination and therefore the presidency of our country.

I indicated to you that the prevailing wisdom between and among most ODM members and supporters, is that you should not challenge Raila for ODM nomination.

However, you have insisted on doing that and have couched your desire to do this under a need to have “internal democracy” within ODM.

I also shared with you that that there those opposed to your quest to challenge Raila who believe you are either compromised by Raila’s and ODM enemies or that you are being misled to believing you can win the presidency when, in fact, your chances of winning the presidency are far much less than Raila’s, given any objective analysis of the current political climate and dynamics.

In response to these concerns which were also expressed elsewhere, you repeatedly assured ODM members and supporters that yours was a genuine desire to give ODM an alternative to consider in deciding who the party’s flag-bearer should be and you even made very positive statements about the party leader Raila to the effect you were not going to say anything negative or try to undermine his own quest.

Based on these pronouncements and assurances, those who were doubting you came on board with the idea that you should challenge Raila for the nomination.

Indeed, many others who were previously against the idea were also convinced by what you were saying and agreed to support the idea believing this will distinguish ODM from the rest of the parties as a party that is open to unencumbered exercise of democracy as you yourself wanted to show.

Unfortunately, however, every indication is you have now morphed into someone determined to get the nomination under your terms and if that is not going to be, then you are threatening to leave ODM.

This is wrong for several reasons.

First, you are undermining your own credibility.

You cannot demand to seek nomination as party flag-bearer in the name of “internal democracy” yet start making demands that are in by themselves inconsistent and contrary to the rules and principles of democracy.

Your main complaint now is that ODM has not amended its constitution to remove the provision that currently provides that the party leader is also automatically the presidential candidate for the party.

You are quoted in the papers that you were “shocked” and deem it a “betrayal” because ODM filed its Parties Act compliance documents without amending the constitution as you are demanding.

However, this is an unfair characterization of what ODM has done.

While its true the ODM constitution was supposed to be amended before filing of the documents, it’s also true this was not possible for reasons that you know and, more importantly, Secretary General Anyang Nyong’o advised the Registrar during the filing that the provision in question will be amended.

Prof. Nyong’o also noted there was no hurry in doing so and the fact as you know is there are ongoing efforts between your camp of ODM and Raila’s camp to reach an agreeable formula to pick the party’s flag-bearer.

There is no rush to do this.

Nobody knows when the elections will be held; they could be held in March 2013 as the constitutional court ruled or they could be held in December 2012 as super-majority of Kenyans expect.

That being the case, we are several months away from ODM having to pick its presidential candidate and in time to conduct a vigorous campaign.

Would you not agree that if both you and Raila are committed to ODM and if ODM’s highest decision making organ is comprised of people of reason with the party’s interests at heart first and foremost and further that the party’s members who in one form or another will be voting to select a nominee that if they, too are people of reason with the party’s interests at heart, if all these are true as one must assume they are, then you would agree that no matter how long it takes, the party will decide for itself the best way to nominate its flag-bearer and do so accordingly?

If on the other hand you believe that some or all of this is not true, then that would be a shocking condemnation of the party coming from you of all people.

Second, by threatening to leave or at least hinting you want to leave if things don’t go your way; can you articulate a single reason why you think leaving would give you better prospects for the presidency other than teaming up with Raila’s enemies to “stop” his being reelected as president?

There is nothing wrong for someone in your position not to want to be president; in fact, it would be unusual for that not to be the case.

However, I am sure I am not telling you something new to say you also must be realistic in those ambitions or expectations.

I heard from a very reliable source that either you or a person very close to you did not like my saying in my last communication to you that you are being mislead to believing you can win the presidency, and saying that your chances are much less than Raila’s, which I have again re-stated above.

This is actually true, especially when you look and see who is the most excited at the prospect of your nomination.

I do not in any way intend to say this to slight or otherwise imply that you are not presidential material; you are.

What I am talking about is both realistically and objectively looking at the circumstances as they exist and other factors which mostly point to the same conclusion.

For example, a majority of those so excited about your prospects of being an ODM nominee are not ODM members or supporters.

They are enemies of ODM and many are now cleverly camouflaging themselves as ODM supporters just so they can cheer you on hopefully to victory as the nominee.

The truth is, and this goes without saying, these ODM enemies/late ODM converts are not excited about your potential nomination because they like you or because they think of you as great presidential material; n0; they only see you as the best possible means to knock Raila off the presidential trail and pave way for their preferred candidate.

While these ODM enemies are excited and cheering you on in with plans to without shame abandon you upon nomination for their preferred candidate, their benefactors are dishing or are ready to dish tokens of money for the most hungry with intent to manipulate and influence the nomination outcome while the going theory among a number of doubters is that you have been compromised with more than just money as some are talking about things akin to letting sleeping dogs lie or simply economic and financial blackmail.

That may or may not be true, in fact, but the perception is there and sometimes perception is as good or bad as real.

Third, your threatening or at least hinting as of now that you will leave ODM unless you get your way is wrong because it either overestimates what your departure will entail for ODM in terms of damage or it underestimates what the damage will be to you politically.

An American politician and former Speaker of the US House of Representatives, the late Tip O’Neill coined the phrase “all politics is local,” which which encapsulates the principle that a politician’s success is directly tied to his ability to understand and influence the issues of his constituents, which by extension means you must take care of your home base before you venture into national politics.

Although you have group of strong backers from your home base that are urging, if not pushing you to seek the nomination, you have equally a significant number that think your threatening or hinting to leave ODM is a bad thing.

In a publicly distributed open letter to you, one has said the following: “I am a Luhya like you, but you do not hold my vote by the ropes. I will vote party and  candidate that i feel best represents my interests and the interests of the Kenyans at large, most of which revolve around job creation, poverty eradication, health, education and food security. You are not a Luhya kingpin, you are just Musalia Mudavadi. There are some who hope that your departure from ODM will weaken it. It may not. Remember we have many who can be elected and take up the running-mate of ODM. Be wise, mwikhula wa Musalia.”

Another fellow Luhya, and an ODM delegate, has also publicly said the following: “I am equally perturbed of insinuations that the Luhyas are anxious. We are not and i say these with adamant clarity/ I have talked to Andati, the Branch Secretary of KAKAMEGA Branch and he is comfortable. This is the situation with Butiko the VIHIGA COUNTY CHAIRMEN and Many Sub Branch chairmen in Bungoma, Kakamega, and Busia. I am not being naive but noting that the position of Kizito, Chikati and Khaniri does not reflect the Luhya position. It reflects the position of the gate keepers of MM. I would love to have MM in the party but if he is listening to self seekers to ship out, i would loose sleep about it though i will be disappointed because our easier winning card is a Raila Mudavadi card.”

These are not isolated views; there are many from Luhyland holding the same views and I am sure you are aware of this.

I could but do not wish to provide a deeper analysis of the meaning of these two viewpoints but the short of it is, they both go to show even more strongly why your threatened or intended departure is not only wrong, it will be a big mistake.

Everyone makes mistakes and I am sure you have made yours.

What everyone doesn’t do, is to make the same mistake twice.

Please do not make another mistake–not one of this magnitude with all its political implications not just for you, but for ODM and the country.

As everyone who cares about ODM and its prospects to once again sweep the country with victories in 2012 or 2013 says, you are better staying in ODM and taking whatever outcome awaits.

No matter what that outcome is, you will still have a political future far much better and predictable than one after decamping, if any.

I am praying for you to make the right decision and its a big one to make because its not about you and Raila only; it’s also about our country because a united and stronger ODM is a better ODM for taking over the leadership of the country.

I really hope you do.

God bless you.

Samuel N. Omwenga, Esq.

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19 Comments

Posted by on April 11, 2012 in Uncategorized

 

19 responses to “An Open Letter To Hon. Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi, Deputy Prime Minister, E.G.H., M.P.

  1. Oscar Olima

    April 12, 2012 at 9:16 AM

    Sam,

    As always,your piece says what many Kenyans can see and are saying.

    .The Political Parties Act 2011 states that a party which wants to amend its constitution “…shall notify the Registrar of political parties its intention and the Registrar shall, within fourteen days after the receipt of the notification…(publish) in the Gazette. (2) The (party)…(1) shall publish such notification in at least two daily newspapers… (3) Upon the expiry of 30 days from the date of publication… (1), the party may, after taking into account any representations received from the public…effect the change or alteration in accordance with its constitution and rules..

    With the deadline of compliance being April 30, 2012, did the Honorable DPM expect the party to flout the Act, or how else would such an amendment be carried out?

    Whereas the DPM can make his choices either way, let us be honest with the reasons for doing so.

    Mt two cents to him would be to stay and strengthen the party and show himself for the democrat that he is. With self-preservation at the top of their minds, the likes of Khaniri, Shikati and co are not forward looking and are only giving the DPM advise that will help them attain their ends.

    ODM is still the trail balzer and party to beat in 2012/2013!

    Oscar Olima

     
  2. Samuel N. Omwenga

    April 12, 2012 at 11:41 AM

    Oscar,

    You are spot on with this.

    Sam

     
  3. Nudi NyakwarNyamori

    April 12, 2012 at 8:18 PM

    You have really taken your time enough patience like many ODM concerned members to advice this lucky guy, but can he understand a thing? That ugali must have been too big!!!!0

     
    • Samuel N. Omwenga

      April 15, 2012 at 10:32 AM

      Thanks Nudi; its all one can do under these circumstances and hope the message gets through to the man. There is still time to do the right thing, if he listens.

       
  4. Samuel N. Omwenga

    April 13, 2012 at 6:50 AM

    Thank you. Even though every indication is all this is falling on deaf ears, and I know he reads or is aware of what I am saying, I am still optimistic he will heed the counsel which as Oscar says above represents the views of many as well–more than a vast majority, in fact.

     
  5. patrick

    April 13, 2012 at 10:33 AM

    Mudavadi is going to leave me a very disappointed marigold who was willing to forgive him for the 2002 debacle…..

     
    • Samuel N. Omwenga

      April 15, 2012 at 10:29 AM

      You are not alone; this is the message we are trying to convey to him, namely, he will not only be disappointing, he will regret it.

       
  6. George

    April 15, 2012 at 7:56 AM

    I dont think its good for someone to hold you back coz of his thoughts.Speak your mind whether in Odm or not.leave the sycos alone

     
  7. warabesa

    April 15, 2012 at 10:09 AM

    read between lines and stop seeing things on the face value. The drama we are witnessing is political, don’t you see the dilly dallying by the PM side has a lot of meaning in the whole saga? be a critical thinker unless you want to fall prey to the propaganda of a well oiled presidential campaign communication

     
    • Samuel N. Omwenga

      April 15, 2012 at 10:28 AM

      Warabesa,

      If you are talking about the same thing I have in mind, I am afraid this may have gotten out of control–probably for the better anyway and therefore no harm.

      After posting my blog Mudavadi Has No Good Reasons To Challenge Raila which you can read here, I received an email from someone who is inside as inside could be assuring me this will be just fine, leaving the impression it could be part of a strategy.

      My reply to him was yes, but keep in mind sometimes strategy can and does backfire.

      I have not told the person I told you so but believe barring some extraordinary development, that moment is coming.

      On the other hand, were that not to be the case, all the better.

      In other words, this thing is a win-win for Raila and ODM regardless of what Mudavadi does. I’ll soon post a blog stating the reasons why.

       
  8. wafula

    April 18, 2012 at 1:47 PM

    have gone through your letter to the honourable DPM Musalia mudavidi and probably a few things came at the back of my mind that i feel are worth noting. western province as a region has always approached politics on a sub tribal basis ie the bukusu subtribe on one hand and the rest of the luhyas on the other hand. this has been mainly due to divisive politics mainly perpetuated in the region by outsiders. now i would want to encourage all those from the western region that we need a paradyme shift in our political engagement. we realise that in the past the bukusus have always been having a oppposing interpretation of politics from the rest of the luhyas because they have always been having a strong leader the likes of masinde muliro and wamalwa kijana. things are different now. bukusus have no undisputed leader and that is why this would be the only time and chance for luhyas to become a block under Musalia.

    once we have consolidated our selves as a block because of our regional common interest, then we can reach out to the rest of the country to be able to work with the like minded citizens of kenya.

    suggesting or insinuating that mudavadi has no reason to challenge the PM is something that is not worth even imagining.

    let nobody deceive you my friend, musalia has the goodwill of the peaple from his region and he is like a mesiah who sneaked in on adonkeys’ back to come and unite the luhya family and take it to the promised land.

     
  9. Samuel N. Omwenga

    April 18, 2012 at 2:02 PM

    Wafula,

    What we all as Kenyans must discourage and actually reject is “block voting,” as this is nothing but a perpetuation of tribalism. I know the counter-argument people give in response is, “but all Luos are voting as a block for Raila,” which is not true because there are many Luos who are not supporting him and that’s fine. The day Kenyans learn and start voting leaders on the basis of their leadership ability and not because he or she is of their own, the better for the country.

    Having said that, if Mudavadi defects as he is threatening, the Luhya vote shall be divided as it should and may the best candidate emerge at the top in the end.

    All we need is simply to ensure elections are held in an atmosphere of peace and the elections themselves are open and transparent.

    Omwenga

     
  10. wafula

    April 19, 2012 at 3:06 PM

    I appreciate your reaction above. Its true that we need to run away from ‘block voting’ but then what kind of block voting is retrogressive? I believe blind block voting is dangerous because because its beneficiaries are mainly selfish tribal leaders. In 2002 Musalia Mudavadi left Kanu but shortly went back and that cost him enomously politically. He cant afford to make the same mistake, it is clear that he has already left ODM and what is remaining to make a formal announcement. When I say Musalia Mudavadi would get a Luhya block, you need not to blame me because I was informed by the fact that the DPM has never carried himself in a manner that would make anybody think he is a tribalist. he has maintained a national leader. As a luhya constituency, we are bound together by a common interest to have the region grow in all spheres including poverty eradication, improved and affordable healthcare and increasing literacy levels among other socio-economic needs and if we have someone we know who is willing and capable of doing it then we owe it to ouselves to push such a person to leadership.

    You will agree with me and based on your letter that Mudavadi has a bright future and that is what every ODM member is saying and my question is when is this future. The supporters of the PM should be courageous enough and come out to face Kenyans and tell them that this bright future is according to them is only there if Raila goes first then him later.

    The supporters of the PM are basically doing what Moi did in Kanu when he openly prefered Uhuru Kenyatta to the rest of the aspirants within then party.

    Mudavadis’ is simply a genuine urge and desire to spearhead the management of the affairs of his own country not anyone can suggest that this desire should wait or is dependent on a particular presidential aspirant. As a matter of fact we need to see more poeple with the same desires, ability and character come up so that we have enough from which we can make an all important choice.

     
  11. Alice Chai

    April 20, 2012 at 8:52 AM

    I hope the deputy prime minister can be fair enough to himself and follow your advice as a kenyan am seeing his downfall if he leaves ODM/Raila and many kenyans they are seeing the same with alot of scandals that we hear in th Kenyan Tv mmm!!!……….. Where he is trying to get advice from they are just after blocking Raila ( we kenyans we are watching those with greed and those with Kenya at heart – RAO remains the only Mkombozi) But untill Raila becomes a president thus when we are able to put many things in place. RAO is a personality we love, His Vitendawili we love them-they are real and follow him wherever he is as his collegues like Musalia become popular because of him. So Mr, stop Greed that is not coming from Yourside be patient and your luck vested by another person will be yours as always.

     
  12. Silas

    April 23, 2012 at 7:24 AM

    MM can do whatever he thinks is good for him. However i question the manner in which he wants to leave ODM. I can only say even Ruto left ODM honorably than him, he is not himself i bet. He wants to become a tribal chief i guess-Which has been undoing to Kenyan politics. My Vote is and has always been with ODM.

     
  13. Kerema Dalmas

    May 15, 2012 at 10:48 AM

    Hey DPP you lack grassroot support which is very essential 4 your win.But your long saying consultation will dump you politically interestly though in your constituency.What if nationally.

     
  14. agekuda.Net

    January 19, 2013 at 12:12 AM

    What’s up to every one, it’s in fact a pleasant
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  15. Lamar

    January 19, 2013 at 6:09 AM

    Thanks for finally talking about >An Open Letter To Hon.

    Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi, Deputy Prime Minister, E.
    G.H., M.P. Uchambuzi Tanaka <Loved it!

     
  16. Roca

    February 14, 2013 at 5:47 AM

    Am equally dissappointed with MM for his stand. I always looked up to him with lots of respect. but following the debate that took place the other day I saw a man who is a afraid to loose everything. he wants to be neutral even on the wrong paths. why did he not come out clearly what he was trying to say. how could he sit on the bench and not speak up for RAO when every other person went there with a motive of exposing RAO as a bad man. the other day day the same fellow called him a devil and he took it lying down, only DIBA went there to say what all other kenyans feel. Kenya is not about Uhuru, Rutto, Raila, Kalonzo, Karua, Kenneth, Muite and all their loyalist. infact we do not need them coz they are the cause of our troubles in terms of economy etc., we are who we are and what we stand for. not tribalism, favouritism, nepotism, social class, family cycles, e.t.c. we all have a final day and they will all be forgotten like sand at the bottom of the sea. he may choose to lie like a sleeping dog but kenya has grown beyond that kind of leadership.

     

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